Manchester United 1:0 Newcastle United: xG & match report · Premier League

Friday, 26/12/2025 at 21:00

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Match report · Premier League

Manchester United Home 1.17 xG · 9 shots

Newcastle United Away 1.18 xG · 16 shots

10 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

24' Patrick Dorgu Manchester United · 0.07 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Manchester United Newcastle United

Shots: 9; 16
On target: 3; 3
Inside the box: 8; 14
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.41; 0.93
Set-piece xG: 0.81; 0.27
Penalties: —; —

Manchester United's shots add up to 1.22 xG and Newcastle United's to 1.20; the published figures are 1.17 and 1.18.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 2.42 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Manchester United
Newcastle United
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Manchester United

2.28 xG created 1.12 xGA

L 1.71 created, 0.21 conceded against Everton
W 1.19 created, 1.83 conceded against Crystal Palace
D 1.80 created, 0.79 conceded against West Ham United
W 4.24 created, 0.41 conceded against Wolverhampton
D 3.40 created, 1.94 conceded against Bournemouth
L 1.33 created, 1.54 conceded against Aston Villa

Newcastle United

1.75 xG created 1.23 xGA

W 2.24 created, 2.49 conceded against Manchester City
W 1.92 created, 1.00 conceded against Everton
D 2.04 created, 0.75 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
W 1.77 created, 1.61 conceded against Burnley
L 0.24 created, 0.30 conceded against Sunderland
D 2.31 created, 1.22 conceded against Chelsea

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.