Everton 1:4 Newcastle United: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 29/11/2025 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Everton Home 1.00 xG · 10 shots

Newcastle United Away 1.92 xG · 13 shots

14 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

1' Malick Thiaw Newcastle United · 0.21 xG chance 0–1
25' Lewis Miley Newcastle United · 0.12 xG chance 0–2
45' Nick Woltemade Newcastle United · 0.53 xG chance 0–3
58' Malick Thiaw Newcastle United · 0.17 xG chance 0–4
70' Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall Everton · 0.39 xG chance 1–4

The shots behind it

Everton Newcastle United

Shots: 10; 13
On target: 2; 8
Inside the box: 7; 10
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.15
Open play xG: 0.68; 1.37
Set-piece xG: 0.31; 0.57
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.00 for Everton and 1.92 for Newcastle United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 2.93 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Everton
Newcastle United
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Everton

1.19 xG created 1.49 xGA

W 2.03 created, 1.53 conceded against Crystal Palace
L 0.81 created, 2.38 conceded against Manchester City
L 1.74 created, 1.72 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
D 0.89 created, 1.22 conceded against Sunderland
W 1.44 created, 0.40 conceded against Fulham
W 0.21 created, 1.71 conceded against Manchester United

Newcastle United

1.68 xG created 1.55 xGA

W 3.28 created, 0.29 conceded against Nottingham Forest
L 1.45 created, 0.91 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
W 2.14 created, 1.53 conceded against Fulham
L 0.52 created, 1.75 conceded against West Ham United
L 0.44 created, 2.35 conceded against Brentford
W 2.24 created, 2.49 conceded against Manchester City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.