Newcastle United 2:1 Fulham: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 25/10/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Newcastle United Home 2.14 xG · 18 shots

Fulham Away 1.53 xG · 12 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

18' Jacob Murphy Newcastle United · 0.06 xG chance 1–0
56' Saša Lukić Fulham · 0.55 xG chance 1–1
90' Bruno Guimarães Newcastle United · 0.38 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Newcastle United Fulham

Shots: 18; 12
On target: 7; 5
Inside the box: 10; 8
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.13
Open play xG: 1.44; 1.45
Set-piece xG: 0.78; 0.07
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.18 for Newcastle United and 1.53 for Fulham.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 3.74 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Newcastle United
Fulham
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Newcastle United

1.25 xG created 0.82 xGA

D 0.46 created, 0.69 conceded against Leeds United
W 1.55 created, 0.50 conceded against Wolverhampton
D 0.14 created, 0.46 conceded against Bournemouth
L 0.61 created, 2.04 conceded against Arsenal
W 3.28 created, 0.29 conceded against Nottingham Forest
L 1.45 created, 0.91 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion

Fulham

0.85 xG created 1.31 xGA

L 1.02 created, 2.35 conceded against Chelsea
W 0.85 created, 0.79 conceded against Leeds United
W 1.01 created, 0.60 conceded against Brentford
L 0.92 created, 1.11 conceded against Aston Villa
L 0.88 created, 1.12 conceded against Bournemouth
L 0.44 created, 1.87 conceded against Arsenal

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.