Newcastle United 2:0 Nottingham Forest: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 05/10/2025 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Newcastle United Home 3.28 xG · 18 shots

Nottingham Forest Away 0.29 xG · 5 shots

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

58' Bruno Guimarães Newcastle United · 0.05 xG chance 1–0
84' Nick Woltemade (pen.) Newcastle United · 0.82 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Newcastle United Nottingham Forest

Shots: 18; 5
On target: 9; 4
Inside the box: 13; 4
xG per shot: 0.18; 0.06
Open play xG: 1.36; 0.23
Set-piece xG: 1.10; 0.06
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 3.57 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Newcastle United
Nottingham Forest
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Newcastle United

0.86 xG created 0.76 xGA

D 1.43 created, 0.20 conceded against Aston Villa
L 0.98 created, 0.69 conceded against Liverpool
D 0.46 created, 0.69 conceded against Leeds United
W 1.55 created, 0.50 conceded against Wolverhampton
D 0.14 created, 0.46 conceded against Bournemouth
L 0.61 created, 2.04 conceded against Arsenal

Nottingham Forest

1.08 xG created 1.48 xGA

W 1.86 created, 1.50 conceded against Brentford
D 0.93 created, 1.10 conceded against Crystal Palace
L 0.73 created, 2.42 conceded against West Ham United
L 0.20 created, 1.84 conceded against Arsenal
D 1.10 created, 0.85 conceded against Burnley
L 1.65 created, 1.19 conceded against Sunderland

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.