xgEdge

Sunday, 31/08/2025 at 15:00

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Match report · Premier League

Nottingham Forest 0:3 West Ham United

Nottingham Forest Home 0.73 xG · 11 shots
West Ham United Away 2.42 xG · 12 shots
03 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 84' Jarrod Bowen West Ham United · 0.06 xG chance 0–1
  2. 88' Lucas Paquetá (pen.) West Ham United · 0.82 xG chance 0–2
  3. 90' Callum Wilson West Ham United · 0.35 xG chance 0–3

The shots behind it

Nottingham Forest West Ham United
Shots
11
12
On target
3
8
Inside the box
9
10
xG per shot
0.06
0.20
Open play xG
0.59
1.39
Set-piece xG
0.12
0.19
Penalties
0
1
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.73 for Nottingham Forest and 1.63 for West Ham United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

West Ham United · Lucas Paquetá · 88' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG West Ham United · Callum Wilson · 90' · No goal · 8 m · 0.57 xG West Ham United · Callum Wilson · 90' · Goal · 8 m · 0.35 xG West Ham United · Lucas Paquetá · 47' · No goal · 8 m · 0.19 xG Nottingham Forest · Chris Wood · 61' · No goal · 13 m · 0.17 xG West Ham United · Lucas Paquetá · 39' · No goal · 14 m · 0.12 xG Nottingham Forest · Chris Wood · 47' · No goal · 9 m · 0.12 xG Nottingham Forest · Chris Wood · 67' · No goal · 9 m · 0.10 xG West Ham United · Niclas Füllkrug · 15' · No goal · 4 m · 0.07 xG Nottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 18' · No goal · 4 m · 0.07 xG Nottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 60' · No goal · 7 m · 0.07 xG West Ham United · Callum Wilson · 68' · No goal · 19 m · 0.06 xG West Ham United · Konstantinos Mavropanos · 69' · No goal · 8 m · 0.06 xG West Ham United · Jarrod Bowen · 84' · Goal · 19 m · 0.06 xG Nottingham Forest · Nikola Milenković · 72' · No goal · 8 m · 0.05 xG West Ham United · Niclas Füllkrug · 3' · No goal · 5 m · 0.04 xG West Ham United · Niclas Füllkrug · 56' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Nottingham Forest · Callum Hudson Odoi · 63' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Nottingham Forest · Neco Williams · 62' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Nottingham Forest · Elliot Anderson · 62' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG West Ham United · Callum Wilson · 81' · No goal · 3 m · 0.02 xG Nottingham Forest · Ola Aina · 90' · No goal · 15 m · 0.02 xG Nottingham Forest · Ola Aina · 90' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

23 shots · 3.11 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Nottingham Forest
  • West Ham United
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Nottingham Forest

1.40 xG created 1.30 xGA

  • W 1.86 created, 1.50 conceded against Brentford
  • D 0.93 created, 1.10 conceded against Crystal Palace
West Ham United

0.65 xG created 1.71 xGA

  • L 0.56 created, 0.68 conceded against Sunderland
  • L 0.73 created, 2.74 conceded against Chelsea

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.