Tottenham Hotspur 1:2 Aston Villa: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 19/10/2025 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Tottenham Hotspur Home 0.75 xG · 9 shots

Aston Villa Away 0.32 xG · 8 shots

12 The result went against the chances

Goals

5' Rodrigo Bentancur Tottenham Hotspur · 0.07 xG chance 1–0
37' Morgan Rogers Aston Villa · 0.03 xG chance 1–1
77' Emiliano Buendía Aston Villa · 0.04 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Tottenham Hotspur Aston Villa

Shots: 9; 8
On target: 3; 2
Inside the box: 6; 2
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.04
Open play xG: 0.16; 0.27
Set-piece xG: 0.59; 0.05
Penalties: —; —

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

17 shots · 1.07 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Tottenham Hotspur
Aston Villa
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Tottenham Hotspur

0.87 xG created 1.32 xGA

W 1.11 created, 1.55 conceded against Manchester City
L 0.19 created, 1.59 conceded against Bournemouth
W 1.29 created, 0.60 conceded against West Ham United
D 1.22 created, 1.32 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
D 0.87 created, 1.15 conceded against Wolverhampton
W 0.53 created, 1.68 conceded against Leeds United

Aston Villa

0.99 xG created 1.39 xGA

L 1.23 created, 1.27 conceded against Brentford
L 1.14 created, 2.65 conceded against Crystal Palace
D 0.54 created, 2.08 conceded against Everton
D 0.78 created, 1.04 conceded against Sunderland
W 1.11 created, 0.92 conceded against Fulham
W 1.16 created, 0.40 conceded against Burnley

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.