Dundee FC 2:1 Kilmarnock: xG & match report · Scottish Premiership

Tuesday, 30/12/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Scottish Premiership

Dundee FC Home 2.23 xG

Kilmarnock Away 1.27 xG

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Dundee FC Kilmarnock

Shots: 26; 8
On target: 6; 4
Inside the box: 16; 7
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.16

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Dundee FC

0.77 xG created 1.39 xGA

W 0.65 created, 1.25 conceded against St. Mirren
L 0.18 created, 1.89 conceded against Celtic
L 1.12 created, 1.84 conceded against Aberdeen
D 1.01 created, 0.69 conceded against Livingston
L 0.12 created, 1.64 conceded against Motherwell
W 1.52 created, 1.00 conceded against Falkirk FC

Kilmarnock

1.11 xG created 1.90 xGA

D 1.83 created, 1.49 conceded against Dundee United
D 1.75 created, 2.19 conceded against Heart of Midlothian
L 0.66 created, 0.75 conceded against Rangers
L 1.02 created, 3.53 conceded against Aberdeen
L 0.87 created, 1.46 conceded against Falkirk FC
D 0.52 created, 1.96 conceded against St. Mirren

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Dundee FC: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Kilmarnock 0:0 Dundee FC 23/08/2025 xG 1.11 – 0.26

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.