Falkirk FC 1:0 Aberdeen: xG & match report · Scottish Premiership

Saturday, 03/01/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Scottish Premiership

Falkirk FC Home 2.11 xG

Aberdeen Away 0.63 xG

10 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Falkirk FC Aberdeen

Shots: 21; 7
On target: 7; 0
Inside the box: 10; 5
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.09

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Falkirk FC

0.89 xG created 1.25 xGA

D 0.14 created, 1.07 conceded against Rangers
D 0.57 created, 0.47 conceded against Motherwell
L 1.15 created, 2.06 conceded against Hibernian
L 1.03 created, 1.50 conceded against Heart of Midlothian
W 1.46 created, 0.87 conceded against Kilmarnock
L 1.00 created, 1.52 conceded against Dundee FC

Aberdeen

1.74 xG created 1.91 xGA

D 2.12 created, 1.83 conceded against St. Mirren
W 1.84 created, 1.12 conceded against Dundee FC
W 3.53 created, 1.02 conceded against Kilmarnock
L 0.91 created, 4.87 conceded against Celtic
D 1.48 created, 0.99 conceded against Dundee United
L 0.54 created, 1.65 conceded against Hibernian

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Falkirk FC: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Aberdeen 0:1 Falkirk FC 31/08/2025 xG 0.96 – 1.26

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.