Falkirk FC 0:2 Heart of Midlothian: xG & match report · Scottish Premiership

Saturday, 13/12/2025 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Scottish Premiership

Falkirk FC Home 1.03 xG

Heart of Midlothian Away 1.50 xG

02 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Falkirk FC Heart of Midlothian

Shots: 6; 13
On target: 1; 5
Inside the box: 4; 11
xG per shot: 0.17; 0.12

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Falkirk FC

1.21 xG created 1.14 xGA

W 1.86 created, 0.65 conceded against Kilmarnock
D 1.56 created, 1.00 conceded against Livingston
W 1.97 created, 1.60 conceded against Dundee United
D 0.14 created, 1.07 conceded against Rangers
D 0.57 created, 0.47 conceded against Motherwell
L 1.15 created, 2.06 conceded against Hibernian

Heart of Midlothian

1.55 xG created 0.94 xGA

W 2.73 created, 0.27 conceded against Dundee FC
D 0.68 created, 0.46 conceded against Dundee United
L 2.81 created, 0.63 conceded against Aberdeen
D 0.41 created, 0.66 conceded against Motherwell
D 2.19 created, 1.75 conceded against Kilmarnock
W 0.50 created, 1.86 conceded against Celtic

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Falkirk FC: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Heart of Midlothian 3:0 Falkirk FC 27/09/2025 xG 1.94 – 0.67

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.