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Sunday, 15/02/2026 at 15:00

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Match report · Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock 2:3 Celtic

Kilmarnock Home 0.94 xG
Celtic Away 2.89 xG
23 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Kilmarnock Celtic
Shots
17
24
On target
7
10
Inside the box
12
18
xG per shot
0.06
0.12

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Kilmarnock

1.62 xG created 2.01 xGA

  • L 0.70 created, 2.65 conceded against Hibernian
  • D 2.03 created, 1.32 conceded against Livingston
  • L 0.49 created, 2.71 conceded against Motherwell
  • W 2.45 created, 0.66 conceded against Aberdeen
  • L 1.35 created, 2.84 conceded against Rangers
  • W 2.70 created, 1.88 conceded against St. Mirren
Celtic

1.68 xG created 1.20 xGA

  • L 1.73 created, 1.40 conceded against Rangers
  • W 2.44 created, 0.33 conceded against Dundee United
  • W 0.62 created, 1.72 conceded against Falkirk FC
  • D 1.32 created, 1.66 conceded against Heart of Midlothian
  • W 0.66 created, 1.07 conceded against Falkirk FC
  • W 3.34 created, 1.05 conceded against Livingston

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.