Falkirk FC 0:1 Celtic: xG & match report · Scottish Premiership

Wednesday, 14/01/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Scottish Premiership

Falkirk FC Home 1.72 xG

Celtic Away 0.62 xG

01 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

Falkirk FC Celtic

Shots: 11; 8
On target: 6; 2
Inside the box: 8; 7
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.08

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Falkirk FC

1.24 xG created 1.21 xGA

L 1.15 created, 2.06 conceded against Hibernian
L 1.03 created, 1.50 conceded against Heart of Midlothian
W 1.46 created, 0.87 conceded against Kilmarnock
L 1.00 created, 1.52 conceded against Dundee FC
W 2.11 created, 0.63 conceded against Aberdeen
W 0.67 created, 0.70 conceded against St. Mirren

Celtic

2.60 xG created 1.06 xGA

L 3.20 created, 1.45 conceded against Dundee United
W 4.87 created, 0.91 conceded against Aberdeen
W 2.70 created, 0.88 conceded against Livingston
L 0.66 created, 1.41 conceded against Motherwell
L 1.73 created, 1.40 conceded against Rangers
W 2.44 created, 0.33 conceded against Dundee United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Falkirk FC: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Celtic 4:0 Falkirk FC 29/10/2025 xG 4.18 – 0.50

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.