Serie A finishing: goals vs xG 2025/2026
The Serie A players whose non-penalty goals have run furthest from the chances behind them, either way. Penalties come out of both halves: a penalty is awarded rather than created, and it is a separate skill.
Nico Paz is furthest above his chances, 5.05 ahead of them: 12 non-penalty goals from 6.95 npxG. Moise Kean is furthest below, 7.29 short: 6 non-penalty goals from 13.29 npxG.
20 players on the two lists
Most above xG
| # | Player | Club | Min | Shots | npG | npxG | npG − npxG | Per shot |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nico Paz | Como | 2,884 | 121 | 12 | 6.95 | +5.05 | +0.04 |
| 2 | Lautaro Martínez | Inter | 2,178 | 92 | 17 | 13.40 | +3.60 | +0.04 |
| 3 | Marcus Thuram | Inter | 1,913 | 74 | 13 | 9.73 | +3.27 | +0.04 |
| 4 | Armand Laurienté | Sassuolo | 2,614 | 71 | 7 | 3.75 | +3.25 | +0.05 |
| 5 | Jens Odgaard | Bologna | 1,403 | 35 | 5 | 2.36 | +2.64 | +0.08 |
| 6 | Anastasios Douvikas | Como | 2,278 | 66 | 13 | 10.59 | +2.41 | +0.04 |
| 7 | Gianluca Scamacca | Atalanta | 1,319 | 57 | 8 | 5.64 | +2.36 | +0.04 |
| 8 | Jamie Vardy | Cremonese | 2,107 | 30 | 7 | 4.71 | +2.29 | +0.08 |
| 9 | Domenico Berardi | Sassuolo | 1,971 | 40 | 6 | 3.75 | +2.25 | +0.06 |
| 10 | Gennaro Borrelli | Cagliari | 1,273 | 30 | 5 | 2.89 | +2.11 | +0.07 |
Most below xG
| # | Player | Club | Min | Shots | npG | npxG | npG − npxG | Per shot |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moise Kean | Fiorentina | 2,047 | 98 | 6 | 13.29 | −7.29 | −0.07 |
| 2 | Nikola Krstović | Atalanta | 1,787 | 99 | 10 | 14.45 | −4.45 | −0.04 |
| 3 | Álvaro Morata | Como | 933 | 23 | 0 | 4.33 | −4.33 | −0.19 |
| 4 | Francisco Conceição | Juventus | 2,098 | 73 | 3 | 7.06 | −4.06 | −0.06 |
| 5 | Gift Orban | Hellas Verona | 2,036 | 85 | 5 | 8.99 | −3.99 | −0.05 |
| 6 | Santiago Giménez | Milan | 896 | 27 | 0 | 3.37 | −3.37 | −0.12 |
| 7 | Christopher Nkunku | Milan | 1,377 | 29 | 2 | 5.21 | −3.21 | −0.11 |
| 8 | M'bala Nzola | Sassuolo | 1,521 | 39 | 2 | 4.81 | −2.81 | −0.07 |
| 9 | Weston McKennie | Juventus | 2,842 | 43 | 5 | 7.65 | −2.65 | −0.06 |
| 10 | Jacobo Ramón | Como | 2,743 | 39 | 2 | 4.63 | −2.63 | −0.07 |
Over a season, most finishing gaps of this size shrink. Shot quality, shot selection and finishing skill all move this number; so does chance.
About these figures What each column counts, and which feed it was counted from. Show Hide
- Min
- Minutes played.
- Shots
- Shots he has taken in this competition this season.
- npG
- Goals with penalties taken out.
- npxG
- Expected goals with penalties taken out.
- npG − npxG
- Non-penalty goals less non-penalty xG.
- Per shot
- npG − npxG divided by the shots he took.
A player is listed once the median Serie A club has played 6 matches, with at least 450 minutes and 2.0 non-penalty xG, and only where his non-penalty goals are 1.0 or more from his non-penalty xG — the 10 furthest each way. Every count is summed over the matches we hold per-player figures for, and penalties are taken out of both halves on the shot feed's flag.
Learn how xgEdge calculates these figures →