Como 1:1 Bologna: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 10/01/2026 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Como Home 0.84 xG · 12 shots

Bologna Away 1.15 xG · 7 shots

11 Bologna had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

49' Nicolò Cambiaghi Bologna · 0.15 xG chance 0–1
90' Martin Baturina Como · 0.02 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Como Bologna

Shots: 12; 7
On target: 3; 2
Inside the box: 10; 7
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.17
Open play xG: 0.73; 0.85
Set-piece xG: 0.11; 0.34
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.22 for Bologna.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

19 shots · 2.03 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Como
Bologna
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Como

1.50 xG created 1.05 xGA

W 1.80 created, 0.78 conceded against Sassuolo
L 1.02 created, 1.42 conceded against Inter
L 0.60 created, 1.16 conceded against Roma
W 1.63 created, 0.76 conceded against Lecce
W 2.24 created, 0.61 conceded against Udinese
W 1.73 created, 1.56 conceded against Pisa

Bologna

1.20 xG created 1.83 xGA

L 2.72 created, 2.13 conceded against Cremonese
D 1.11 created, 1.21 conceded against Lazio
L 0.55 created, 1.68 conceded against Juventus
D 0.88 created, 1.62 conceded against Sassuolo
L 0.85 created, 2.93 conceded against Inter
L 1.10 created, 1.38 conceded against Atalanta

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Como: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Bologna 1:0 Como 30/08/2025 xG 1.10 – 0.69

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.