Fiorentina 2:2 Bologna: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 26/10/2025 at 18:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Fiorentina Home 3.72 xG · 19 shots

Bologna Away 0.55 xG · 6 shots

22 Fiorentina had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

25' Santiago Castro Bologna · 0.12 xG chance 0–1
52' Nicolò Cambiaghi Bologna · 0.66 xG chance 0–2
74' Albert Guðmundsson (pen.) Fiorentina · 0.82 xG chance 1–2
90' Moise Kean (pen.) Fiorentina · 0.82 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Fiorentina Bologna

Shots: 19; 6
On target: 7; 3
Inside the box: 15; 4
xG per shot: 0.20; 0.16
Open play xG: 0.37; 0.85
Set-piece xG: 1.70; 0.12
Penalties: 2; 0

Fiorentina's shots add up to 3.71 xG and Bologna's to 0.97; the published figures are 3.72 and 0.55.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 4.68 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Fiorentina
Bologna
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Fiorentina

1.16 xG created 1.62 xGA

D 1.74 created, 1.02 conceded against Torino
L 1.65 created, 3.29 conceded against Napoli
L 0.49 created, 1.25 conceded against Como
D 0.89 created, 0.80 conceded against Pisa
L 1.10 created, 1.35 conceded against Roma
L 1.08 created, 1.98 conceded against Milan

Bologna

1.49 xG created 0.71 xGA

W 1.10 created, 0.69 conceded against Como
L 0.17 created, 1.00 conceded against Milan
W 1.59 created, 0.53 conceded against Genoa
D 1.37 created, 1.80 conceded against Lecce
W 3.62 created, 0.04 conceded against Pisa
W 1.11 created, 0.22 conceded against Cagliari

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.