Hellas Verona 0:1 Fiorentina: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 04/04/2026 at 18:00

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Match report · Serie A

Hellas Verona Home 1.30 xG · 21 shots

Fiorentina Away 0.36 xG · 5 shots

01 The result went against the chances

Goals

82' Nicolò Fagioli Fiorentina · 0.15 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Hellas Verona Fiorentina

Shots: 21; 5
On target: 8; 1
Inside the box: 9; 2
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.07
Open play xG: 1.05; 0.22
Set-piece xG: 0.26; 0.15
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.30 for Hellas Verona and 0.36 for Fiorentina.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 1.68 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Hellas Verona
Fiorentina
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Hellas Verona

0.88 xG created 1.23 xGA

L 0.91 created, 1.71 conceded against Parma
L 0.65 created, 2.00 conceded against Sassuolo
L 0.31 created, 0.85 conceded against Napoli
W 1.98 created, 1.28 conceded against Bologna
L 0.30 created, 0.51 conceded against Genoa
L 1.11 created, 1.02 conceded against Atalanta

Fiorentina

1.57 xG created 0.96 xGA

W 1.53 created, 0.84 conceded against Como
W 1.84 created, 0.28 conceded against Pisa
L 0.66 created, 1.65 conceded against Udinese
D 1.30 created, 0.25 conceded against Parma
W 1.79 created, 1.44 conceded against Cremonese
D 2.28 created, 1.32 conceded against Inter

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Hellas Verona: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Fiorentina 1:2 Hellas Verona 14/12/2025 xG 1.71 – 0.94

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.