Como 1:2 Fiorentina: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 14/02/2026 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Como Home 0.84 xG · 17 shots

Fiorentina Away 1.53 xG · 7 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

26' Nicolò Fagioli Fiorentina · 0.55 xG chance 0–1
54' Moise Kean (pen.) Fiorentina · 0.82 xG chance 0–2
77' Fabiano Parisi (o.g.) Como · 0.10 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Como Fiorentina

Shots: 17; 7
On target: 4; 3
Inside the box: 12; 4
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.22
Open play xG: 0.65; 0.70
Set-piece xG: 0.29; 0.02
Penalties: 0; 1

Como's shots add up to 0.94 xG and Fiorentina's to 1.54; the published figures are 0.84 and 1.53.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 2.48 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Como
Fiorentina
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Como

2.40 xG created 0.88 xGA

W 1.73 created, 1.56 conceded against Pisa
D 0.84 created, 1.15 conceded against Bologna
L 1.87 created, 1.28 conceded against Milan
W 1.83 created, 0.27 conceded against Lazio
W 2.89 created, 0.48 conceded against Torino
D 5.24 created, 0.52 conceded against Atalanta

Fiorentina

1.73 xG created 1.62 xGA

D 1.64 created, 2.74 conceded against Lazio
D 1.90 created, 1.93 conceded against Milan
W 1.73 created, 1.31 conceded against Bologna
L 2.15 created, 1.08 conceded against Cagliari
L 1.36 created, 1.80 conceded against Napoli
D 1.58 created, 0.88 conceded against Torino

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Como: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Fiorentina 1:2 Como 21/09/2025 xG 0.49 – 1.25

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.