Inter 2:2 Napoli: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 11/01/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Inter Home 1.45 xG · 13 shots

Napoli Away 0.74 xG · 7 shots

22 Inter had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

9' Federico Dimarco Inter · 0.05 xG chance 1–0
26' Scott McTominay Napoli · 0.16 xG chance 1–1
73' Hakan Çalhanoğlu (pen.) Inter · 0.82 xG chance 2–1
81' Scott McTominay Napoli · 0.32 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Inter Napoli

Shots: 13; 7
On target: 4; 3
Inside the box: 10; 5
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.10
Open play xG: 0.48; 0.72
Set-piece xG: 0.19; 0.00
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.66 for Inter and 0.71 for Napoli.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

20 shots · 2.21 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Inter
Napoli
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Inter

1.89 xG created 0.83 xGA

W 2.00 created, 1.03 conceded against Pisa
W 1.42 created, 1.02 conceded against Como
W 1.27 created, 0.97 conceded against Genoa
W 1.16 created, 0.78 conceded against Atalanta
W 2.93 created, 0.85 conceded against Bologna
W 2.57 created, 0.33 conceded against Parma

Napoli

1.56 xG created 0.79 xGA

W 1.17 created, 0.52 conceded against Roma
W 1.66 created, 0.29 conceded against Juventus
L 0.93 created, 1.31 conceded against Udinese
W 2.54 created, 0.46 conceded against Cremonese
W 1.86 created, 0.36 conceded against Lazio
D 1.22 created, 1.82 conceded against Hellas Verona

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Inter: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Napoli 3:1 Inter 25/10/2025 xG 1.25 – 1.89

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.