Milan 1:1 Genoa: xG & match report · Serie A

Thursday, 08/01/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Milan Home 2.45 xG · 32 shots

Genoa Away 1.32 xG · 7 shots

11 Milan had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

28' Lorenzo Colombo Genoa · 0.35 xG chance 0–1
90' Rafael Leão Milan · 0.06 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Milan Genoa

Shots: 32; 7
On target: 8; 2
Inside the box: 25; 5
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.19
Open play xG: 1.52; 0.53
Set-piece xG: 0.86; 0.01
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.45 for Milan and 0.53 for Genoa.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

39 shots · 3.74 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Milan
Genoa
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Milan

1.46 xG created 0.91 xGA

W 1.01 created, 1.92 conceded against Inter
W 1.47 created, 0.68 conceded against Lazio
W 1.67 created, 1.03 conceded against Torino
D 1.45 created, 1.07 conceded against Sassuolo
W 2.43 created, 0.39 conceded against Hellas Verona
W 0.70 created, 0.38 conceded against Cagliari

Genoa

1.06 xG created 1.36 xGA

W 1.75 created, 2.28 conceded against Hellas Verona
W 1.57 created, 1.17 conceded against Udinese
L 0.97 created, 1.27 conceded against Inter
L 0.81 created, 1.44 conceded against Atalanta
L 0.71 created, 1.37 conceded against Roma
D 0.54 created, 0.62 conceded against Pisa

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.