Torino 2:3 Milan: xG & match report · Serie A

Monday, 08/12/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Torino Home 1.03 xG · 8 shots

Milan Away 1.67 xG · 17 shots

23 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

10' Nikola Vlašić (pen.) Torino · 0.82 xG chance 1–0
17' Duván Zapata Torino · 0.03 xG chance 2–0
24' Adrien Rabiot Milan · 0.02 xG chance 2–1
67' Christian Pulišić Milan · 0.12 xG chance 2–2
77' Christian Pulišić Milan · 0.26 xG chance 2–3

The shots behind it

Torino Milan

Shots: 8; 17
On target: 4; 6
Inside the box: 3; 13
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.10
Open play xG: 0.22; 1.58
Set-piece xG: 0.01; 0.15
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.24 for Torino and 1.69 for Milan.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 2.78 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Torino
Milan
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Torino

1.08 xG created 1.49 xGA

W 1.35 created, 1.90 conceded against Genoa
D 0.54 created, 0.43 conceded against Bologna
D 0.91 created, 1.53 conceded against Pisa
D 0.54 created, 1.21 conceded against Juventus
L 1.40 created, 2.85 conceded against Como
L 1.74 created, 1.00 conceded against Lecce

Milan

1.61 xG created 1.53 xGA

D 1.54 created, 1.42 conceded against Pisa
D 0.36 created, 1.34 conceded against Atalanta
W 3.32 created, 1.95 conceded against Roma
D 1.95 created, 1.88 conceded against Parma
W 1.01 created, 1.92 conceded against Inter
W 1.47 created, 0.68 conceded against Lazio

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.