Parma 1:4 Juventus: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 01/02/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Parma Home 0.55 xG · 11 shots

Juventus Away 4.03 xG · 15 shots

14 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

15' Bremer Juventus · 0.10 xG chance 0–1
37' Weston McKennie Juventus · 0.11 xG chance 0–2
51' Andrea Cambiaso (o.g.) Parma · 0.13 xG chance 1–2
54' Bremer Juventus · 0.91 xG chance 1–3
64' Jonathan David Juventus · 1.00 xG chance 1–4

The shots behind it

Parma Juventus

Shots: 11; 15
On target: 5; 8
Inside the box: 5; 13
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.28
Open play xG: 0.42; 2.14
Set-piece xG: 0.29; 2.10
Penalties: —; —

Parma's shots add up to 0.71 xG and Juventus's to 4.24; the published figures are 0.55 and 4.03.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 4.95 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Parma
Juventus
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Parma

0.76 xG created 1.79 xGA

D 1.20 created, 0.86 conceded against Sassuolo
L 0.33 created, 2.57 conceded against Inter
W 1.04 created, 0.85 conceded against Lecce
D 0.18 created, 1.37 conceded against Napoli
D 0.41 created, 1.04 conceded against Genoa
L 1.38 created, 4.07 conceded against Atalanta

Juventus

2.15 xG created 0.48 xGA

W 1.74 created, 0.65 conceded against Pisa
D 2.77 created, 0.26 conceded against Lecce
W 2.57 created, 0.21 conceded against Sassuolo
W 3.40 created, 0.90 conceded against Cremonese
L 1.35 created, 0.11 conceded against Cagliari
W 1.09 created, 0.73 conceded against Napoli

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Parma: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Juventus 2:0 Parma 24/08/2025 xG 2.35 – 0.62

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.