Parma 0:1 Lecce: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 04/10/2025 at 15:00

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Match report · Serie A

Parma Home 0.59 xG · 10 shots

Lecce Away 0.50 xG · 7 shots

01 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

38' Riccardo Sottil Lecce · 0.01 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Parma Lecce

Shots: 10; 7
On target: 2; 3
Inside the box: 7; 4
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.27; 0.30
Set-piece xG: 0.30; 0.22
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.59 for Parma and 0.50 for Lecce.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

17 shots · 1.09 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Parma
Lecce
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Parma

1.09 xG created 1.03 xGA

L 0.62 created, 2.35 conceded against Juventus
D 0.68 created, 0.81 conceded against Atalanta
L 1.96 created, 1.13 conceded against Cagliari
D 0.84 created, 0.12 conceded against Cremonese
W 1.34 created, 0.76 conceded against Torino

Lecce

0.78 xG created 1.62 xGA

D 0.37 created, 0.50 conceded against Genoa
L 0.30 created, 1.85 conceded against Milan
L 0.46 created, 2.12 conceded against Atalanta
L 0.99 created, 2.24 conceded against Cagliari
D 1.80 created, 1.37 conceded against Bologna

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.