Roma 2:0 Cagliari: xG & match report · Serie A

Monday, 09/02/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Roma Home 1.33 xG · 15 shots

Cagliari Away 0.35 xG · 3 shots

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

25' Donyell Malen Roma · 0.13 xG chance 1–0
65' Donyell Malen Roma · 0.35 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Roma Cagliari

Shots: 15; 3
On target: 5; 1
Inside the box: 15; 2
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.11
Open play xG: 0.94; 0.01
Set-piece xG: 0.39; 0.32
Penalties: —; —

Cagliari's shots add up to 0.33 xG; the published figure is 0.35.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

18 shots · 1.66 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Roma
Cagliari
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Roma

1.66 xG created 0.79 xGA

L 0.78 created, 1.88 conceded against Atalanta
W 1.33 created, 0.55 conceded against Lecce
W 2.54 created, 0.74 conceded against Sassuolo
W 1.84 created, 0.41 conceded against Torino
D 2.75 created, 0.44 conceded against Milan
L 0.73 created, 0.69 conceded against Udinese

Cagliari

1.05 xG created 1.26 xGA

L 0.38 created, 0.70 conceded against Milan
D 1.80 created, 1.81 conceded against Cremonese
L 1.26 created, 1.08 conceded against Genoa
W 0.11 created, 1.35 conceded against Juventus
W 1.08 created, 2.15 conceded against Fiorentina
W 1.68 created, 0.46 conceded against Hellas Verona

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Roma: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Cagliari 1:0 Roma 07/12/2025 xG 1.80 – 0.36

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.