Torino 1:2 Cagliari: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 27/12/2025 at 15:00

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Match report · Serie A

Torino Home 1.60 xG · 19 shots

Cagliari Away 0.77 xG · 9 shots

12 The result went against the chances

Goals

28' Nikola Vlašić Torino · 0.40 xG chance 1–0
45' Matteo Prati Cagliari · 0.31 xG chance 1–1
66' Semih Kılıçsoy Cagliari · 0.15 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Torino Cagliari

Shots: 19; 9
On target: 10; 4
Inside the box: 11; 4
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.10
Open play xG: 1.29; 0.56
Set-piece xG: 0.29; 0.34
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.60 for Torino and 0.93 for Cagliari.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 2.48 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Torino
Cagliari
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Torino

1.24 xG created 1.31 xGA

D 0.54 created, 1.21 conceded against Juventus
L 1.40 created, 2.85 conceded against Como
L 1.74 created, 1.00 conceded against Lecce
L 1.03 created, 1.67 conceded against Milan
W 1.05 created, 0.69 conceded against Cremonese
W 1.71 created, 0.43 conceded against Sassuolo

Cagliari

0.98 xG created 1.62 xGA

D 0.64 created, 1.06 conceded against Como
D 0.90 created, 1.42 conceded against Genoa
L 0.54 created, 1.71 conceded against Juventus
W 1.80 created, 0.36 conceded against Roma
L 0.54 created, 2.60 conceded against Atalanta
D 1.43 created, 2.54 conceded against Pisa

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.