Torino 4:1 Parma: xG & match report · Serie A

Friday, 13/03/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Torino Home 1.95 xG · 16 shots

Parma Away 0.56 xG · 6 shots

41 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

3' Giovanni Simeone Torino · 0.04 xG chance 1–0
20' Mateo Pellegrino Parma · 0.14 xG chance 1–1
54' Emirhan İlkhan Torino · 0.93 xG chance 2–1
56' Mandela Keita (o.g.) Torino · 0.22 xG chance 3–1
90' Duván Zapata Torino · 0.07 xG chance 4–1

The shots behind it

Torino Parma

Shots: 16; 6
On target: 7; 3
Inside the box: 7; 4
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.09
Open play xG: 1.15; 0.14
Set-piece xG: 1.07; 0.41
Penalties: —; —

Torino's shots add up to 2.22 xG and Parma's to 0.55; the published figures are 1.95 and 0.56.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 2.77 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Torino
Parma
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Torino

0.81 xG created 1.25 xGA

W 1.87 created, 0.58 conceded against Lecce
D 0.88 created, 1.58 conceded against Fiorentina
L 0.49 created, 1.35 conceded against Bologna
L 0.57 created, 1.80 conceded against Genoa
W 0.69 created, 0.94 conceded against Lazio
L 0.37 created, 1.24 conceded against Napoli

Parma

0.74 xG created 1.55 xGA

L 0.55 created, 4.03 conceded against Juventus
W 0.18 created, 1.22 conceded against Bologna
W 1.71 created, 0.91 conceded against Hellas Verona
W 0.46 created, 1.33 conceded against Milan
D 1.28 created, 0.52 conceded against Cagliari
D 0.25 created, 1.30 conceded against Fiorentina

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Torino: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Parma 2:1 Torino 29/09/2025 xG 1.34 – 0.76

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.