xgEdge

Sunday, 22/02/2026 at 17:00

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Match report · Super League Greece

AE Larisa 1:1 PAOK

AE Larisa Home 0.88 xG
PAOK Away 2.17 xG
11 PAOK had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

AE Larisa PAOK
Shots
6
10
On target
2
1
Inside the box
2
7
xG per shot
0.15
0.22

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
AE Larisa

1.34 xG created 0.99 xGA

  • D 1.41 created, 2.54 conceded against AE Kifisia
  • W 0.63 created, 0.55 conceded against Aris Thessaloniki
  • W 1.55 created, 0.72 conceded against MGS Panserraikos
  • W 2.52 created, 0.76 conceded against NPS Volos
  • L 1.24 created, 0.48 conceded against Panetolikos
  • D 0.66 created, 0.87 conceded against Panathinaikos
PAOK

1.74 xG created 0.44 xGA

  • W 2.02 created, 0.26 conceded against Panathinaikos
  • W 2.76 created, 0.60 conceded against Panetolikos
  • W 1.66 created, 0.17 conceded against OFI Crete
  • W 1.44 created, 0.62 conceded against MGS Panserraikos
  • D 1.32 created, 0.40 conceded against Aris Thessaloniki
  • D 1.22 created, 0.56 conceded against AEK Athens

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

AE Larisa: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.