AEK Athens 4:0 Panathinaikos: xG & match report · Super League Greece

Sunday, 18/01/2026 at 20:00

Full time

Match report · Super League Greece

AEK Athens Home 2.27 xG

Panathinaikos Away 0.75 xG

40 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

AEK Athens Panathinaikos

Shots: 12; 12
On target: 5; 3
Inside the box: 10; 8
xG per shot: 0.19; 0.06

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

AEK Athens

2.19 xG created 0.87 xGA

W 2.51 created, 0.50 conceded against Aris Thessaloniki
W 2.02 created, 1.60 conceded against Panathinaikos
W 2.54 created, 0.92 conceded against Atromitos Athens
W 2.24 created, 0.16 conceded against Panetolikos
W 2.32 created, 1.47 conceded against OFI Crete
D 1.50 created, 0.59 conceded against Aris Thessaloniki

Panathinaikos

1.65 xG created 1.34 xGA

W 2.28 created, 0.49 conceded against MGS Panserraikos
L 1.60 created, 2.02 conceded against AEK Athens
D 1.72 created, 2.20 conceded against AE Larisa
W 1.10 created, 1.20 conceded against NPS Volos
L 0.26 created, 2.02 conceded against PAOK
W 2.95 created, 0.13 conceded against MGS Panserraikos

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

AEK Athens: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Panathinaikos 2:3 AEK Athens 30/11/2025 xG 1.60 – 2.02

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.