Atromitos Athens 2:2 AEK Athens: xG & match report · Super League Greece

Sunday, 15/03/2026 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · Super League Greece

Atromitos Athens Home 0.78 xG

AEK Athens Away 1.27 xG

22 AEK Athens had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

Atromitos Athens AEK Athens

Shots: 12; 14
On target: 6; 6
Inside the box: 5; 13
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.09

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Atromitos Athens

0.95 xG created 1.38 xGA

L 0.88 created, 1.60 conceded against OFI Crete
W 0.56 created, 1.28 conceded against AE Kifisia
D 1.51 created, 0.76 conceded against MGS Panserraikos
W 0.76 created, 0.88 conceded against Asteras Aktor
W 0.95 created, 1.33 conceded against Panetolikos
D 1.02 created, 2.45 conceded against Aris Thessaloniki

AEK Athens

2.04 xG created 0.83 xGA

D 0.99 created, 1.57 conceded against Olympiacos FC
W 3.67 created, 0.34 conceded against MGS Panserraikos
D 0.56 created, 1.22 conceded against PAOK
W 2.58 created, 0.25 conceded against APO Levadiakos
D 1.43 created, 1.07 conceded against NPS Volos
W 3.00 created, 0.53 conceded against AE Larisa

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Atromitos Athens: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

AEK Athens 4:1 Atromitos Athens 07/12/2025 xG 2.54 – 0.92

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.