AEK Athens 1:0 AE Larisa: xG & match report · Super League Greece

Saturday, 07/03/2026 at 17:00

Full time

Match report · Super League Greece

AEK Athens Home 3.00 xG

AE Larisa Away 0.53 xG

10 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

AEK Athens AE Larisa

Shots: 20; 9
On target: 8; 2
Inside the box: 15; 2
xG per shot: 0.15; 0.06

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

AEK Athens

1.77 xG created 0.94 xGA

W 1.38 created, 1.21 conceded against Asteras Aktor
D 0.99 created, 1.57 conceded against Olympiacos FC
W 3.67 created, 0.34 conceded against MGS Panserraikos
D 0.56 created, 1.22 conceded against PAOK
W 2.58 created, 0.25 conceded against APO Levadiakos
D 1.43 created, 1.07 conceded against NPS Volos

AE Larisa

1.23 xG created 1.00 xGA

W 1.55 created, 0.72 conceded against MGS Panserraikos
W 2.52 created, 0.76 conceded against NPS Volos
L 1.24 created, 0.48 conceded against Panetolikos
D 0.66 created, 0.87 conceded against Panathinaikos
D 0.88 created, 2.17 conceded against PAOK
L 0.55 created, 1.02 conceded against OFI Crete

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

AEK Athens: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

AE Larisa 1:1 AEK Athens 21/09/2025 xG 1.61 – 2.20

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.