Panathinaikos 3:1 Aris Thessaloniki: xG & match report · Super League Greece

Sunday, 01/03/2026 at 19:00

Full time

Match report · Super League Greece

Panathinaikos Home 2.20 xG

Aris Thessaloniki Away 0.71 xG

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Panathinaikos Aris Thessaloniki

Shots: 10; 13
On target: 3; 1
Inside the box: 6; 8
xG per shot: 0.22; 0.05

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Panathinaikos

1.28 xG created 1.18 xGA

L 0.75 created, 2.27 conceded against AEK Athens
D 0.71 created, 1.71 conceded against Atromitos Athens
W 2.22 created, 0.38 conceded against AE Kifisia
W 1.69 created, 1.68 conceded against Olympiacos FC
D 0.87 created, 0.66 conceded against AE Larisa
W 1.46 created, 0.37 conceded against OFI Crete

Aris Thessaloniki

1.26 xG created 0.96 xGA

L 0.55 created, 0.63 conceded against AE Larisa
D 1.44 created, 1.26 conceded against APO Levadiakos
W 2.76 created, 0.03 conceded against Panetolikos
D 0.40 created, 1.32 conceded against PAOK
D 0.25 created, 1.58 conceded against NPS Volos
D 2.13 created, 0.94 conceded against AE Kifisia

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Panathinaikos: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Aris Thessaloniki 1:1 Panathinaikos 19/10/2025 xG 0.65 – 1.08

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.