xgEdge

Expected goals

Fatih Karagümrük expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

Süper Lig · after 34 matches · updated 4 Oct

Fatih Karagümrük's attacking and defensive expected goals in Süper Lig 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Fatih Karagümrük xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.01 xG per match
#15/18
Attack (xG per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Galatasaray 2.00
#2 Beşiktaş 1.90
#3 Fenerbahçe 1.90
#4 Başakşehir FK 1.59
#5 Trabzonspor 1.47
#6 Göztepe 1.39
#7 Çaykur Rizespor 1.33
#8 Gaziantep FK 1.31
#9 Konyaspor 1.31
#10 Samsunspor 1.29
#11 Kayserispor 1.12
#12 Gençlerbirliği 1.03
#13 Alanyaspor 1.03
#14 Eyüpspor 1.01
#15 Fatih Karagümrük 1.01
#16 Kocaelispor 0.90
#17 Kasımpaşa 0.89
#18 Antalyaspor 0.81
League avg
1.29
Total
34.32 34 matches
Defence
1.44 xGA per match
#12/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Fenerbahçe 0.88
#2 Galatasaray 0.96
#3 Kocaelispor 0.98
#4 Göztepe 1.07
#5 Beşiktaş 1.11
#6 Samsunspor 1.19
#7 Başakşehir FK 1.25
#8 Trabzonspor 1.29
#9 Alanyaspor 1.30
#10 Kasımpaşa 1.31
#11 Çaykur Rizespor 1.34
#12 Fatih Karagümrük 1.44
#13 Konyaspor 1.45
#14 Gaziantep FK 1.49
#15 Gençlerbirliği 1.51
#16 Kayserispor 1.52
#17 Eyüpspor 1.55
#18 Antalyaspor 1.64
League avg
1.29
Total
48.94 34 matches
xG difference
-0.43 xGD per match
#15/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Galatasaray +1.04
#2 Fenerbahçe +1.02
#3 Beşiktaş +0.79
#4 Başakşehir FK +0.35
#5 Göztepe +0.32
#6 Trabzonspor +0.18
#7 Samsunspor +0.10
#8 Çaykur Rizespor -0.01
#9 Kocaelispor -0.09
#10 Konyaspor -0.15
#11 Gaziantep FK -0.18
#12 Alanyaspor -0.27
#13 Kayserispor -0.40
#14 Kasımpaşa -0.42
#15 Fatih Karagümrük -0.43
#16 Gençlerbirliği -0.48
#17 Eyüpspor -0.55
#18 Antalyaspor -0.83
League avg
0.00
Total
-14.62 34 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.11 xPts per match
#14/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Fenerbahçe 2.03
#2 Galatasaray 1.97
#3 Beşiktaş 1.92
#4 Göztepe 1.62
#5 Başakşehir FK 1.60
#6 Trabzonspor 1.51
#7 Samsunspor 1.47
#8 Çaykur Rizespor 1.37
#9 Konyaspor 1.29
#10 Kocaelispor 1.28
#11 Gaziantep FK 1.26
#12 Alanyaspor 1.25
#13 Kayserispor 1.12
#14 Fatih Karagümrük 1.11
#15 Kasımpaşa 1.07
#16 Gençlerbirliği 1.05
#17 Eyüpspor 1.02
#18 Antalyaspor 0.82
League avg
1.38
Total
37.72 vs 30 actual pts

What the xG says

Fatih Karagümrük's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Süper Lig. They rank #15 for xG difference at -0.43 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 31 goals are 3.32 below 34.32 xG, while 30 points are 7.72 below 37.72 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 3.07 xG from penalties
31 34.32 -3.32 scored 3.32 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
54 48.94 +5.06 conceded 5.06 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
30 37.72 -7.72 7.72 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Fatih Karagümrük are 3.32 goals below their xG after 34 matches. The gap was widest at -4.42, against Beşiktaş on Mon 27/04.

Goals
31
xG
34.32
Gap
-3.32
Fri 15/08 Fri 22/08 Sat 30/08 Sat 13/09 Wed 17/09 Sun 21/09 Sat 27/09 Sun 05/10 Sun 19/10 Fri 24/10 Mon 03/11 Sun 09/11 Sat 22/11 Sun 30/11 Sun 07/12 Sun 14/12 Sun 21/12 Sat 17/01 Sat 24/01 Sat 31/01 Sat 07/02 Mon 16/02 Sun 22/02 Fri 27/02 Sun 08/03 Fri 13/03 Thu 19/03 Sun 05/04 Sun 12/04 Sat 18/04 Mon 27/04 Sun 03/05 Sat 09/05 Sat 16/05 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.72 -1.04 -0.60 -1.43 -1.82 -0.40 +0.90 -0.72 -0.56 -0.60 -1.36 -0.60 -1.26 -1.73 -2.15 -2.14 -2.39 -2.04 -1.57 -1.71 -3.16 -2.37 -3.37 -3.07 -2.87 -2.37 -2.62 -1.94 -3.33 -3.81 -4.42 -4.23 -3.54 -3.32 -0.72 -0.32 +0.44 -0.83 -0.39 +1.42 +1.30 -1.62 +0.16 -0.04 -0.76 +0.76 -0.66 -0.47 -0.42 +0.01 -0.25 +0.35 +0.47 -0.14 -1.45 +0.79 -1.00 +0.30 +0.20 +0.50 -0.25 +0.68 -1.39 -0.48 -0.61 +0.19 +0.69 +0.22 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Fatih Karagümrük: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 15/08 Galatasaray 0 0.72 -0.72 -0.72
Fri 22/08 Göztepe 0 0.32 -0.32 -1.04
Sat 30/08 Antalyaspor 2 1.56 +0.44 -0.60
Sat 13/09 Kasımpaşa 0 0.83 -0.83 -1.43
Wed 17/09 Başakşehir FK 0 0.39 -0.39 -1.82
Sun 21/09 Samsunspor 2 0.58 +1.42 -0.40
Sat 27/09 Trabzonspor 3 1.70 +1.30 +0.90
Sun 05/10 Gaziantep FK 0 1.62 -1.62 -0.72
Sun 19/10 Fenerbahçe 1 0.84 +0.16 -0.56
Fri 24/10 Kayserispor 2 2.04 -0.04 -0.60
Mon 03/11 Çaykur Rizespor 0 0.76 -0.76 -1.36
Sun 09/11 Konyaspor 2 1.24 +0.76 -0.60
Sat 22/11 Eyüpspor 1 1.66 -0.66 -1.26
Sun 30/11 Beşiktaş 0 0.47 -0.47 -1.73
Sun 07/12 Gençlerbirliği 0 0.42 -0.42 -2.15
Sun 14/12 Kocaelispor 1 0.99 +0.01 -2.14
Sun 21/12 Alanyaspor 0 0.25 -0.25 -2.39
Sat 17/01 Başakşehir FK 1 0.65 +0.35 -2.04
Sat 24/01 Galatasaray 1 0.53 +0.47 -1.57
Sat 31/01 Göztepe 1 1.14 -0.14 -1.71
Sat 07/02 Antalyaspor 1 2.45 -1.45 -3.16
Mon 16/02 Kasımpaşa 2 1.21 +0.79 -2.37
Sun 22/02 Samsunspor 0 1.00 -1.00 -3.37
Fri 27/02 Trabzonspor 1 0.70 +0.30 -3.07
Sun 08/03 Gaziantep FK 1 0.80 +0.20 -2.87
Fri 13/03 Fenerbahçe 2 1.50 +0.50 -2.37
Thu 19/03 Kayserispor 0 0.25 -0.25 -2.62
Sun 05/04 Çaykur Rizespor 2 1.32 +0.68 -1.94
Sun 12/04 Konyaspor 0 1.39 -1.39 -3.33
Sat 18/04 Eyüpspor 1 1.48 -0.48 -3.81
Mon 27/04 Beşiktaş 0 0.61 -0.61 -4.42
Sun 03/05 Gençlerbirliği 1 0.81 +0.19 -4.23
Sat 09/05 Kocaelispor 1 0.31 +0.69 -3.54
Sat 16/05 Alanyaspor 2 1.78 +0.22 -3.32

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Fatih Karagümrük xG trend

Current form -0.08 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 13 of 34 matches. The worst was against Galatasaray on Fri 15/08 (-2.49).

npxG · last 6
0.92
npxGA · last 6
1.00
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -2.49 Fri 15/08 -1.56 Fri 22/08 +0.74 Sat 30/08 +0.20 Sat 13/09 +0.26 Wed 17/09 -1.55 Sun 21/09 +0.44 Sat 27/09 -1.12 Sun 05/10 -1.10 Sun 19/10 -0.43 Fri 24/10 -1.06 Mon 03/11 +0.73 Sun 09/11 +0.54 Sat 22/11 -1.47 Sun 30/11 -1.74 Sun 07/12 -0.16 Sun 14/12 -0.57 Sun 21/12 -1.47 Sat 17/01 -0.88 Sat 24/01 +0.31 Sat 31/01 +1.67 Sat 07/02 -0.71 Mon 16/02 +0.32 Sun 22/02 -1.04 Fri 27/02 -0.12 Sun 08/03 +0.81 Fri 13/03 -1.88 Thu 19/03 -0.23 Sun 05/04 +0.22 Sun 12/04 +1.06 Sat 18/04 -1.51 Mon 27/04 -0.54 Sun 03/05 -0.03 Sat 09/05 +0.31 Sat 16/05 -0.41 season avg
Fatih Karagümrük: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 15/08 Galatasaray 0.72 3.21 -2.49 -2.49
Fri 22/08 Göztepe 0.33 1.89 -1.56 -2.03
Sat 30/08 Antalyaspor 1.54 0.80 +0.74 -1.10
Sat 13/09 Kasımpaşa 0.79 0.59 +0.20 -0.78
Wed 17/09 Başakşehir FK 0.39 0.13 +0.26 -0.57
Sun 21/09 Samsunspor 0.55 2.10 -1.55 -0.73
Sat 27/09 Trabzonspor 1.67 1.23 +0.44 -0.57
Sun 05/10 Gaziantep FK 0.86 1.98 -1.12 -0.63
Sun 19/10 Fenerbahçe 0.84 1.94 -1.10 -0.69
Fri 24/10 Kayserispor 1.25 1.68 -0.43 -0.66
Mon 03/11 Çaykur Rizespor 0.76 1.82 -1.06 -0.70
Sun 09/11 Konyaspor 1.24 0.51 +0.73 -0.58
Sat 22/11 Eyüpspor 1.66 1.12 +0.54 -0.49
Sun 30/11 Beşiktaş 0.46 1.93 -1.47 -0.56
Sun 07/12 Gençlerbirliği 0.42 2.16 -1.74 -0.64
Sun 14/12 Kocaelispor 0.99 1.15 -0.16 -0.61
Sun 21/12 Alanyaspor 0.25 0.82 -0.57 -0.61
Sat 17/01 Başakşehir FK 0.65 2.12 -1.47 -0.66
Sat 24/01 Galatasaray 0.53 1.41 -0.88 -0.67
Sat 31/01 Göztepe 1.16 0.85 +0.31 -0.62
Sat 07/02 Antalyaspor 2.06 0.39 +1.67 -0.51
Mon 16/02 Kasımpaşa 1.05 1.76 -0.71 -0.52
Sun 22/02 Samsunspor 1.01 0.69 +0.32 -0.48
Fri 27/02 Trabzonspor 0.66 1.70 -1.04 -0.51
Sun 08/03 Gaziantep FK 0.81 0.93 -0.12 -0.49
Fri 13/03 Fenerbahçe 1.50 0.69 +0.81 -0.44
Thu 19/03 Kayserispor 0.25 2.13 -1.88 -0.49
Sun 05/04 Çaykur Rizespor 1.32 1.55 -0.23 -0.48
Sun 12/04 Konyaspor 1.39 1.17 +0.22 -0.46
Sat 18/04 Eyüpspor 1.48 0.42 +1.06 -0.41
Mon 27/04 Beşiktaş 0.61 2.12 -1.51 -0.44
Sun 03/05 Gençlerbirliği 0.81 1.35 -0.54 -0.45
Sat 09/05 Kocaelispor 0.31 0.34 -0.03 -0.44
Sat 16/05 Alanyaspor 0.93 0.62 +0.31 -0.41

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.92 npxG and 1.33 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 4 hardest of 18 in Süper Lig
+0.01 xG vs league average
Over 34 league matches
Last 5
number 15 hardest of 18 in Süper Lig
−0.11 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.01 xG vs league average · over 34 matches · tied number 4 hardest of 18

  1. Alanyaspor Home −0.11
  2. Kocaelispor Away −0.12
  3. Gençlerbirliği Home −0.23
  4. Beşiktaş Away +0.39
  5. Eyüpspor Home −0.45
  6. Konyaspor Away −0.05
  7. Çaykur Rizespor Home +0.04
  8. Kayserispor Away −0.09
  9. Fenerbahçe Home +0.43
  10. Gaziantep FK Away −0.16
  11. Trabzonspor Away +0.12
  12. Samsunspor Home +0.02
  13. Kasımpaşa Away −0.26
  14. Antalyaspor Home −0.35
  15. Göztepe Away +0.25
  16. Galatasaray Home +0.52
  17. Başakşehir FK Away +0.27
  18. Alanyaspor Away −0.11
  19. Kocaelispor Home −0.12
  20. Gençlerbirliği Away −0.23
  21. Beşiktaş Home +0.39
  22. Eyüpspor Away −0.45
  23. Konyaspor Home −0.05
  24. Çaykur Rizespor Away +0.04
  25. Kayserispor Home −0.09
  26. Fenerbahçe Away +0.43
  27. Gaziantep FK Home −0.16
  28. Trabzonspor Home +0.12
  29. Samsunspor Away +0.02
  30. Başakşehir FK Home +0.27
  31. Kasımpaşa Home −0.26
  32. Antalyaspor Away −0.35
  33. Göztepe Home +0.25
  34. Galatasaray Away +0.52

Last 5

−0.11 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 15 hardest of 18

  1. Alanyaspor Home −0.11
  2. Kocaelispor Away −0.12
  3. Gençlerbirliği Home −0.23
  4. Beşiktaş Away +0.39
  5. Eyüpspor Home −0.45

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Fatih Karagümrük shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. Fatih Karagümrük take 10.4 shots a match (league 12.8) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.09), #14 in Süper Lig for volume and #13 for quality. 55% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%).

Attack

Shot volume
10.4 shots per match
#14/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Fenerbahçe 17.1
#2 Beşiktaş 16.9
#3 Galatasaray 16.4
#4 Trabzonspor 14.9
#5 Göztepe 14.2
#6 Başakşehir FK 13.5
#7 Gaziantep FK 13.1
#8 Konyaspor 13.1
#9 Çaykur Rizespor 13.0
#10 Samsunspor 12.9
#11 Alanyaspor 12.4
#12 Kayserispor 12.4
#13 Gençlerbirliği 10.7
#14 Fatih Karagümrük 10.4
#15 Eyüpspor 10.4
#16 Kocaelispor 10.1
#17 Antalyaspor 9.7
#18 Kasımpaşa 9.6
League avg
12.8
Total
355 shots from 34 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#13/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Galatasaray 0.12
#2 Başakşehir FK 0.11
#3 Beşiktaş 0.10
#4 Fenerbahçe 0.10
#5 Çaykur Rizespor 0.10
#6 Samsunspor 0.10
#7 Göztepe 0.10
#8 Konyaspor 0.09
#9 Eyüpspor 0.09
#10 Kayserispor 0.09
#11 Trabzonspor 0.09
#12 Gaziantep FK 0.09
#13 Fatih Karagümrük 0.09
#14 Antalyaspor 0.08
#15 Gençlerbirliği 0.08
#16 Kasımpaşa 0.08
#17 Kocaelispor 0.08
#18 Alanyaspor 0.07
League avg
0.09
Total
31.25 npxG from 355 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
13.8 shots per match
#12/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Galatasaray 10.1
#2 Fenerbahçe 10.4
#3 Alanyaspor 11.1
#4 Kocaelispor 11.3
#5 Kasımpaşa 12.0
#6 Beşiktaş 12.3
#7 Samsunspor 12.4
#8 Göztepe 12.4
#9 Başakşehir FK 12.6
#10 Konyaspor 13.0
#11 Trabzonspor 13.7
#12 Fatih Karagümrük 13.8
#13 Antalyaspor 14.0
#14 Çaykur Rizespor 14.1
#15 Gaziantep FK 14.2
#16 Eyüpspor 14.3
#17 Gençlerbirliği 14.3
#18 Kayserispor 14.5
League avg
12.8
Total
470 shots allowed from 34 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#11/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Kocaelispor 0.08
#2 Göztepe 0.08
#3 Fenerbahçe 0.08
#4 Beşiktaş 0.08
#5 Çaykur Rizespor 0.08
#6 Samsunspor 0.09
#7 Kayserispor 0.09
#8 Trabzonspor 0.09
#9 Başakşehir FK 0.09
#10 Galatasaray 0.10
#11 Fatih Karagümrük 0.10
#12 Eyüpspor 0.10
#13 Gaziantep FK 0.10
#14 Gençlerbirliği 0.10
#15 Konyaspor 0.10
#16 Kasımpaşa 0.10
#17 Alanyaspor 0.11
#18 Antalyaspor 0.11
League avg
0.09
Total
45.30 npxGA from 470 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

55% inside the box

League avg 62%

From 197 of 355 shots over 34 matches

Shots allowed, location

62% allowed inside the box

League avg 62%

From 292 of 470 shots allowed over 34 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Fatih Karagümrük home and away xG

Fatih Karagümrük per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 17 17
xG / match 1.20 0.81
xGA / match 1.26 1.62
xGD / match -0.06 -0.80
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.39 0.83

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Fatih Karagümrük match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

At home this season

Matches
17
xG / match
1.20
xGA / match
1.26
xGD / match
-0.06
Points
21 of 51
  1. Sat 16/05 Alanyaspor H xG 1.78 P xGA 0.74 xGD +1.04
  2. Sun 03/05 Gençlerbirliği H Against the chances xG 0.81 xGA 2.14 P xGD -1.33
  3. Sat 18/04 Eyüpspor H Against the chances xG 1.48 xGA 0.32 xGD +1.16
  4. Sun 05/04 Çaykur Rizespor H xG 1.32 xGA 1.55 xGD -0.23
  5. Fri 13/03 Fenerbahçe H xG 1.50 xGA 0.69 xGD +0.81
  6. Sun 22/02 Samsunspor H xG 1.00 xGA 0.69 xGD +0.31
  7. Sat 07/02 Antalyaspor H Best underlying xG 2.45 xGA 0.39 xGD +2.06
  8. Sat 24/01 Galatasaray H xG 0.53 xGA 1.40 xGD -0.87
  9. Sun 14/12 Kocaelispor H xG 0.99 xGA 1.15 xGD -0.16
  10. Sun 30/11 Beşiktaş H Weakest underlying xG 0.47 xGA 3.14 P xGD -2.67
  11. Sun 09/11 Konyaspor H xG 1.24 xGA 0.51 xGD +0.73
  12. Fri 24/10 Kayserispor H xG 2.04 P xGA 1.65 xGD +0.39
  13. Sun 05/10 Gaziantep FK H xG 1.62 P xGA 2.86 P xGD -1.24
  14. Sat 27/09 Trabzonspor H xG 1.70 xGA 1.77 P xGD -0.07
  15. Wed 17/09 Başakşehir FK H xG 0.39 xGA 0.11 xGD +0.28
  16. Sat 13/09 Kasımpaşa H xG 0.83 xGA 0.62 xGD +0.21
  17. Fri 22/08 Göztepe H xG 0.32 xGA 1.71 xGD -1.39

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.14. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Fatih Karagümrük in Süper Lig

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

Mind if we count your visit?

We use Google Analytics only to see how many people visit and which pages they read. It loads after you allow it — no ads, no tracking across other sites. What we collect