xgEdge

Expected goals

Kayserispor expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

Süper Lig · after 34 matches · updated 4 Oct

Kayserispor's attacking and defensive expected goals in Süper Lig 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Kayserispor xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.12 xG per match
#11/18
Attack (xG per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Galatasaray 2.00
#2 Beşiktaş 1.90
#3 Fenerbahçe 1.90
#4 Başakşehir FK 1.59
#5 Trabzonspor 1.47
#6 Göztepe 1.39
#7 Çaykur Rizespor 1.33
#8 Gaziantep FK 1.31
#9 Konyaspor 1.31
#10 Samsunspor 1.29
#11 Kayserispor 1.12
#12 Gençlerbirliği 1.03
#13 Alanyaspor 1.03
#14 Eyüpspor 1.01
#15 Fatih Karagümrük 1.01
#16 Kocaelispor 0.90
#17 Kasımpaşa 0.89
#18 Antalyaspor 0.81
League avg
1.29
Total
37.96 34 matches
Defence
1.52 xGA per match
#16/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Fenerbahçe 0.88
#2 Galatasaray 0.96
#3 Kocaelispor 0.98
#4 Göztepe 1.07
#5 Beşiktaş 1.11
#6 Samsunspor 1.19
#7 Başakşehir FK 1.25
#8 Trabzonspor 1.29
#9 Alanyaspor 1.30
#10 Kasımpaşa 1.31
#11 Çaykur Rizespor 1.34
#12 Fatih Karagümrük 1.44
#13 Konyaspor 1.45
#14 Gaziantep FK 1.49
#15 Gençlerbirliği 1.51
#16 Kayserispor 1.52
#17 Eyüpspor 1.55
#18 Antalyaspor 1.64
League avg
1.29
Total
51.63 34 matches
xG difference
-0.40 xGD per match
#13/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Galatasaray +1.04
#2 Fenerbahçe +1.02
#3 Beşiktaş +0.79
#4 Başakşehir FK +0.35
#5 Göztepe +0.32
#6 Trabzonspor +0.18
#7 Samsunspor +0.10
#8 Çaykur Rizespor -0.01
#9 Kocaelispor -0.09
#10 Konyaspor -0.15
#11 Gaziantep FK -0.18
#12 Alanyaspor -0.27
#13 Kayserispor -0.40
#14 Kasımpaşa -0.42
#15 Fatih Karagümrük -0.43
#16 Gençlerbirliği -0.48
#17 Eyüpspor -0.55
#18 Antalyaspor -0.83
League avg
0.00
Total
-13.67 34 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.12 xPts per match
#13/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Fenerbahçe 2.03
#2 Galatasaray 1.97
#3 Beşiktaş 1.92
#4 Göztepe 1.62
#5 Başakşehir FK 1.60
#6 Trabzonspor 1.51
#7 Samsunspor 1.47
#8 Çaykur Rizespor 1.37
#9 Konyaspor 1.29
#10 Kocaelispor 1.28
#11 Gaziantep FK 1.26
#12 Alanyaspor 1.25
#13 Kayserispor 1.12
#14 Fatih Karagümrük 1.11
#15 Kasımpaşa 1.07
#16 Gençlerbirliği 1.05
#17 Eyüpspor 1.02
#18 Antalyaspor 0.82
League avg
1.38
Total
38.21 vs 30 actual pts

What the xG says

Kayserispor's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Süper Lig. They rank #13 for xG difference at -0.40 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 27 goals are 10.96 below 37.96 xG, while 30 points are 8.21 below 38.21 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 0.52 xG from penalties
27 37.96 -10.96 scored 10.96 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
62 51.63 +10.37 conceded 10.37 more than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
30 38.21 -8.21 8.21 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Kayserispor are 10.96 goals below their xG after 34 matches. The gap was widest at -11.56, against Alanyaspor on Sat 09/05.

Goals
27
xG
37.96
Gap
-10.96
Sun 17/08 Sun 24/08 Sat 30/08 Sun 14/09 Sat 20/09 Wed 24/09 Sun 28/09 Fri 03/10 Sun 19/10 Fri 24/10 Sun 02/11 Sun 09/11 Sat 22/11 Sat 29/11 Sat 06/12 Sat 13/12 Sat 20/12 Mon 19/01 Sat 24/01 Sun 01/02 Mon 09/02 Sun 15/02 Sun 22/02 Sun 01/03 Mon 09/03 Sun 15/03 Thu 19/03 Sat 04/04 Sat 11/04 Mon 20/04 Sat 25/04 Sun 03/05 Sat 09/05 Sun 17/05 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +0.58 -0.32 +0.17 +0.55 +0.71 +0.31 -1.13 -2.64 -2.83 -2.48 -0.80 -0.06 -0.86 -0.50 +0.18 -0.51 -1.48 -2.38 -2.76 -3.41 -4.59 -5.57 -6.59 -7.21 -8.30 -8.04 -9.17 -9.49 -9.90 -10.74 -10.22 -10.68 -11.56 -10.96 +0.58 -0.90 +0.49 +0.38 +0.16 -0.40 -1.44 -1.51 -0.19 +0.35 +1.68 +0.74 -0.80 +0.36 +0.68 -0.69 -0.97 -0.90 -0.38 -0.65 -1.18 -0.98 -1.02 -0.62 -1.09 +0.26 -1.13 -0.32 -0.41 -0.84 +0.52 -0.46 -0.88 +0.60 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Kayserispor: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 17/08 Başakşehir FK 1 0.42 +0.58 +0.58
Sun 24/08 Galatasaray 0 0.90 -0.90 -0.32
Sat 30/08 Kocaelispor 1 0.51 +0.49 +0.17
Sun 14/09 Göztepe 1 0.62 +0.38 +0.55
Sat 20/09 Antalyaspor 1 0.84 +0.16 +0.71
Wed 24/09 Beşiktaş 0 0.40 -0.40 +0.31
Sun 28/09 Gençlerbirliği 1 2.44 -1.44 -1.13
Fri 03/10 Trabzonspor 0 1.51 -1.51 -2.64
Sun 19/10 Samsunspor 1 1.19 -0.19 -2.83
Fri 24/10 Fatih Karagümrük 2 1.65 +0.35 -2.48
Sun 02/11 Kasımpaşa 3 1.32 +1.68 -0.80
Sun 09/11 Fenerbahçe 2 1.26 +0.74 -0.06
Sat 22/11 Gaziantep FK 0 0.80 -0.80 -0.86
Sat 29/11 Çaykur Rizespor 1 0.64 +0.36 -0.50
Sat 06/12 Eyüpspor 1 0.32 +0.68 +0.18
Sat 13/12 Alanyaspor 0 0.69 -0.69 -0.51
Sat 20/12 Konyaspor 1 1.97 -0.97 -1.48
Mon 19/01 Beşiktaş 0 0.90 -0.90 -2.38
Sat 24/01 Başakşehir FK 0 0.38 -0.38 -2.76
Sun 01/02 Galatasaray 0 0.65 -0.65 -3.41
Mon 09/02 Kocaelispor 1 2.18 -1.18 -4.59
Sun 15/02 Göztepe 0 0.98 -0.98 -5.57
Sun 22/02 Antalyaspor 1 2.02 -1.02 -6.59
Sun 01/03 Gençlerbirliği 0 0.62 -0.62 -7.21
Mon 09/03 Trabzonspor 1 2.09 -1.09 -8.30
Sun 15/03 Samsunspor 1 0.74 +0.26 -8.04
Thu 19/03 Fatih Karagümrük 1 2.13 -1.13 -9.17
Sat 04/04 Kasımpaşa 0 0.32 -0.32 -9.49
Sat 11/04 Fenerbahçe 0 0.41 -0.41 -9.90
Mon 20/04 Gaziantep FK 0 0.84 -0.84 -10.74
Sat 25/04 Çaykur Rizespor 2 1.48 +0.52 -10.22
Sun 03/05 Eyüpspor 1 1.46 -0.46 -10.68
Sat 09/05 Alanyaspor 1 1.88 -0.88 -11.56
Sun 17/05 Konyaspor 2 1.40 +0.60 -10.96

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Kayserispor xG trend

Current form -0.03 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 15 of 34 matches. The worst was against Galatasaray on Sun 24/08 (-2.57).

npxG · last 6
1.23
npxGA · last 6
1.26
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.37 Sun 17/08 -2.57 Sun 24/08 -0.76 Sat 30/08 +0.21 Sun 14/09 +0.00 Sat 20/09 -1.70 Wed 24/09 +1.95 Sun 28/09 -1.67 Fri 03/10 -1.47 Sun 19/10 +0.43 Fri 24/10 +0.86 Sun 02/11 -0.98 Sun 09/11 -0.11 Sat 22/11 -0.80 Sat 29/11 -0.90 Sat 06/12 -0.46 Sat 13/12 +1.21 Sat 20/12 -0.96 Mon 19/01 -0.40 Sat 24/01 -0.98 Sun 01/02 +1.13 Mon 09/02 +0.01 Sun 15/02 +0.26 Sun 22/02 +0.08 Sun 01/03 +0.50 Mon 09/03 -1.46 Sun 15/03 +1.88 Thu 19/03 -0.06 Sat 04/04 -1.04 Sat 11/04 -0.85 Mon 20/04 +0.40 Sat 25/04 +0.56 Sun 03/05 +0.61 Sat 09/05 +0.16 Sun 17/05 -0.21 season avg
Kayserispor: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 17/08 Başakşehir FK 0.44 0.81 -0.37 -0.37
Sun 24/08 Galatasaray 0.92 3.49 -2.57 -1.47
Sat 30/08 Kocaelispor 0.51 1.27 -0.76 -1.23
Sun 14/09 Göztepe 0.68 0.47 +0.21 -0.87
Sat 20/09 Antalyaspor 0.80 0.80 +0.00 -0.70
Wed 24/09 Beşiktaş 0.66 2.36 -1.70 -0.86
Sun 28/09 Gençlerbirliği 2.33 0.38 +1.95 -0.46
Fri 03/10 Trabzonspor 1.18 2.85 -1.67 -0.61
Sun 19/10 Samsunspor 1.19 2.66 -1.47 -0.71
Fri 24/10 Fatih Karagümrük 1.68 1.25 +0.43 -0.60
Sun 02/11 Kasımpaşa 1.32 0.46 +0.86 -0.46
Sun 09/11 Fenerbahçe 1.26 2.24 -0.98 -0.51
Sat 22/11 Gaziantep FK 0.80 0.91 -0.11 -0.48
Sat 29/11 Çaykur Rizespor 0.64 1.44 -0.80 -0.50
Sat 06/12 Eyüpspor 0.32 1.22 -0.90 -0.53
Sat 13/12 Alanyaspor 0.69 1.15 -0.46 -0.52
Sat 20/12 Konyaspor 1.97 0.76 +1.21 -0.42
Mon 19/01 Beşiktaş 0.91 1.87 -0.96 -0.45
Sat 24/01 Başakşehir FK 0.37 0.77 -0.40 -0.45
Sun 01/02 Galatasaray 0.79 1.77 -0.98 -0.47
Mon 09/02 Kocaelispor 2.18 1.05 +1.13 -0.40
Sun 15/02 Göztepe 1.06 1.05 +0.01 -0.38
Sun 22/02 Antalyaspor 1.23 0.97 +0.26 -0.35
Sun 01/03 Gençlerbirliği 0.62 0.54 +0.08 -0.33
Mon 09/03 Trabzonspor 2.37 1.87 +0.50 -0.30
Sun 15/03 Samsunspor 0.74 2.20 -1.46 -0.34
Thu 19/03 Fatih Karagümrük 2.13 0.25 +1.88 -0.26
Sat 04/04 Kasımpaşa 0.27 0.33 -0.06 -0.25
Sat 11/04 Fenerbahçe 0.43 1.47 -1.04 -0.28
Mon 20/04 Gaziantep FK 0.84 1.69 -0.85 -0.30
Sat 25/04 Çaykur Rizespor 1.37 0.97 +0.40 -0.28
Sun 03/05 Eyüpspor 1.46 0.90 +0.56 -0.25
Sat 09/05 Alanyaspor 1.88 1.27 +0.61 -0.23
Sun 17/05 Konyaspor 1.40 1.24 +0.16 -0.21

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.10 npxG and 1.32 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 4 hardest of 18 in Süper Lig
+0.01 xG vs league average
Over 34 league matches
Last 5
number 16 hardest of 18 in Süper Lig
−0.15 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.01 xG vs league average · over 34 matches · tied number 4 hardest of 18

  1. Konyaspor Home −0.05
  2. Alanyaspor Away −0.11
  3. Eyüpspor Home −0.45
  4. Çaykur Rizespor Home +0.04
  5. Gaziantep FK Away −0.16
  6. Fenerbahçe Home +0.43
  7. Kasımpaşa Away −0.26
  8. Fatih Karagümrük Home −0.21
  9. Samsunspor Away +0.02
  10. Trabzonspor Home +0.12
  11. Gençlerbirliği Away −0.23
  12. Antalyaspor Home −0.35
  13. Göztepe Away +0.25
  14. Kocaelispor Home −0.12
  15. Galatasaray Away +0.52
  16. Başakşehir FK Home +0.27
  17. Beşiktaş Away +0.39
  18. Konyaspor Away −0.05
  19. Alanyaspor Home −0.11
  20. Eyüpspor Away −0.45
  21. Çaykur Rizespor Away +0.04
  22. Gaziantep FK Home −0.16
  23. Fenerbahçe Away +0.43
  24. Kasımpaşa Home −0.26
  25. Fatih Karagümrük Away −0.21
  26. Samsunspor Home +0.02
  27. Trabzonspor Away +0.12
  28. Gençlerbirliği Home −0.23
  29. Beşiktaş Home +0.39
  30. Antalyaspor Away −0.35
  31. Göztepe Home +0.25
  32. Kocaelispor Away −0.12
  33. Galatasaray Home +0.52
  34. Başakşehir FK Away +0.27

Last 5

−0.15 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 16 hardest of 18

  1. Konyaspor Home −0.05
  2. Alanyaspor Away −0.11
  3. Eyüpspor Home −0.45
  4. Çaykur Rizespor Home +0.04
  5. Gaziantep FK Away −0.16

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Kayserispor shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. Kayserispor take 12.4 shots a match (league 12.8) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.09), #12 in Süper Lig for volume and #10 for quality. 57% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%).

Attack

Shot volume
12.4 shots per match
#12/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Fenerbahçe 17.1
#2 Beşiktaş 16.9
#3 Galatasaray 16.4
#4 Trabzonspor 14.9
#5 Göztepe 14.2
#6 Başakşehir FK 13.5
#7 Gaziantep FK 13.1
#8 Konyaspor 13.1
#9 Çaykur Rizespor 13.0
#10 Samsunspor 12.9
#11 Alanyaspor 12.4
#12 Kayserispor 12.4
#13 Gençlerbirliği 10.7
#14 Fatih Karagümrük 10.4
#15 Eyüpspor 10.4
#16 Kocaelispor 10.1
#17 Antalyaspor 9.7
#18 Kasımpaşa 9.6
League avg
12.8
Total
421 shots from 34 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#10/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Galatasaray 0.12
#2 Başakşehir FK 0.11
#3 Beşiktaş 0.10
#4 Fenerbahçe 0.10
#5 Çaykur Rizespor 0.10
#6 Samsunspor 0.10
#7 Göztepe 0.10
#8 Konyaspor 0.09
#9 Eyüpspor 0.09
#10 Kayserispor 0.09
#11 Trabzonspor 0.09
#12 Gaziantep FK 0.09
#13 Fatih Karagümrük 0.09
#14 Antalyaspor 0.08
#15 Gençlerbirliği 0.08
#16 Kasımpaşa 0.08
#17 Kocaelispor 0.08
#18 Alanyaspor 0.07
League avg
0.09
Total
37.44 npxG from 421 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.5 shots per match
#18/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Galatasaray 10.1
#2 Fenerbahçe 10.4
#3 Alanyaspor 11.1
#4 Kocaelispor 11.3
#5 Kasımpaşa 12.0
#6 Beşiktaş 12.3
#7 Samsunspor 12.4
#8 Göztepe 12.4
#9 Başakşehir FK 12.6
#10 Konyaspor 13.0
#11 Trabzonspor 13.7
#12 Fatih Karagümrük 13.8
#13 Antalyaspor 14.0
#14 Çaykur Rizespor 14.1
#15 Gaziantep FK 14.2
#16 Eyüpspor 14.3
#17 Gençlerbirliği 14.3
#18 Kayserispor 14.5
League avg
12.8
Total
493 shots allowed from 34 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#7/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Kocaelispor 0.08
#2 Göztepe 0.08
#3 Fenerbahçe 0.08
#4 Beşiktaş 0.08
#5 Çaykur Rizespor 0.08
#6 Samsunspor 0.09
#7 Kayserispor 0.09
#8 Trabzonspor 0.09
#9 Başakşehir FK 0.09
#10 Galatasaray 0.10
#11 Fatih Karagümrük 0.10
#12 Eyüpspor 0.10
#13 Gaziantep FK 0.10
#14 Gençlerbirliği 0.10
#15 Konyaspor 0.10
#16 Kasımpaşa 0.10
#17 Alanyaspor 0.11
#18 Antalyaspor 0.11
League avg
0.09
Total
44.73 npxGA from 493 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

57% inside the box

League avg 62%

From 240 of 421 shots over 34 matches

Shots allowed, location

64% allowed inside the box

League avg 62%

From 315 of 493 shots allowed over 34 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Kayserispor home and away xG

Kayserispor per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 17 17
xG / match 1.29 0.94
xGA / match 1.40 1.64
xGD / match -0.11 -0.70
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.34 0.91

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Kayserispor match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 10

Matches
10
xG / match
1.28
xGA / match
1.44
xGD / match
-0.17
Points
10 of 30
  1. Sun 17/05 Konyaspor H xG 1.40 xGA 1.18 xGD +0.22
  2. Sat 09/05 Alanyaspor A xG 1.88 xGA 2.05 P xGD -0.17
  3. Sun 03/05 Eyüpspor H xG 1.46 xGA 0.90 xGD +0.56
  4. Sat 25/04 Çaykur Rizespor H xG 1.48 xGA 1.14 xGD +0.34
  5. Mon 20/04 Gaziantep FK A Weakest underlying xG 0.84 xGA 2.38 P xGD -1.54
  6. Sat 11/04 Fenerbahçe H xG 0.41 xGA 1.47 xGD -1.06
  7. Sat 04/04 Kasımpaşa A xG 0.32 xGA 0.33 xGD -0.01
  8. Thu 19/03 Fatih Karagümrük H Best underlying xG 2.13 xGA 0.25 xGD +1.88
  9. Sun 15/03 Samsunspor A xG 0.74 xGA 2.10 xGD -1.36
  10. Mon 09/03 Trabzonspor H xG 2.09 xGA 2.65 P xGD -0.56

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Kayserispor in Süper Lig

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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