xgEdge

Expected goals

FC Fredericia expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

Superliga (Denmark) · after 32 matches · updated 4 Oct

FC Fredericia's attacking and defensive expected goals in Superliga (Denmark) 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FC Fredericia xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.34 xG per match
#10/12
Attack (xG per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 FC København 2.10
#2 AGF 1.96
#3 Odense Boldklub 1.68
#4 Brøndby IF 1.60
#5 FC Midtjylland 1.59
#6 FC Nordsjælland 1.52
#7 Viborg FF 1.52
#8 Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.48
#9 Randers FC 1.46
#10 FC Fredericia 1.34
#11 Silkeborg IF 1.28
#12 Vejle 1.06
League avg
1.55
Total
42.88 32 matches
Defence
2.06 xGA per match
#12/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 AGF 1.22
#2 FC København 1.26
#3 Brøndby IF 1.28
#4 Randers FC 1.31
#5 FC Midtjylland 1.38
#6 Odense Boldklub 1.52
#7 FC Nordsjælland 1.59
#8 Vejle 1.61
#9 Viborg FF 1.64
#10 Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.69
#11 Silkeborg IF 2.05
#12 FC Fredericia 2.06
League avg
1.55
Total
66.06 32 matches
xG difference
-0.72 xGD per match
#11/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 FC København +0.84
#2 AGF +0.74
#3 Brøndby IF +0.32
#4 FC Midtjylland +0.21
#5 Odense Boldklub +0.16
#6 Randers FC +0.15
#7 FC Nordsjælland -0.07
#8 Viborg FF -0.12
#9 Sønderjyske Fodbold -0.22
#10 Vejle -0.55
#11 FC Fredericia -0.72
#12 Silkeborg IF -0.77
League avg
0.00
Total
-23.18 32 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.96 xPts per match
#11/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 FC København 1.88
#2 AGF 1.81
#3 FC Midtjylland 1.53
#4 Odense Boldklub 1.51
#5 Brøndby IF 1.51
#6 Randers FC 1.49
#7 FC Nordsjælland 1.39
#8 Viborg FF 1.31
#9 Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.29
#10 Vejle 1.01
#11 FC Fredericia 0.96
#12 Silkeborg IF 0.92
League avg
1.39
Total
30.70 vs 34 actual pts

What the xG says

FC Fredericia's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Superliga (Denmark). They rank #11 for xG difference at -0.72 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 45 goals are 2.12 above 42.88 xG, while 34 points are 3.30 above 30.70 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.37 xG from penalties
45 42.88 +2.12 scored 2.12 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
68 66.06 +1.94 conceded 1.94 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
34 30.70 +3.30 3.30 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FC Fredericia are 2.12 goals above their xG after 32 matches. The gap was widest at +3.57, against Randers FC on Thu 23/04.

Goals
45
xG
42.88
Gap
+2.12
Sun 20/07 Sun 27/07 Fri 01/08 Sun 10/08 Fri 15/08 Sun 24/08 Sun 31/08 Mon 15/09 Fri 19/09 Sun 28/09 Sun 05/10 Mon 20/10 Sun 26/10 Sat 01/11 Sun 09/11 Sun 23/11 Mon 01/12 Fri 05/12 Mon 09/02 Sun 15/02 Sun 22/02 Sun 01/03 Fri 13/03 Sun 22/03 Mon 06/04 Mon 13/04 Sun 19/04 Thu 23/04 Sun 26/04 Sun 03/05 Sun 10/05 Sun 17/05 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +0.75 +1.49 +1.03 +1.74 +2.80 +2.60 +3.09 +2.35 +2.39 +2.34 +1.40 +0.30 -0.28 -0.01 -0.25 -0.50 +1.09 +1.00 +1.39 +1.42 +1.58 +2.27 +1.65 +2.39 +1.55 +1.74 +2.34 +3.57 +1.76 +1.75 +0.90 +2.12 +0.75 +0.74 -0.46 +0.71 +1.06 -0.20 +0.49 -0.74 +0.04 -0.05 -0.94 -1.10 -0.58 +0.27 -0.24 -0.25 +1.59 -0.09 +0.39 +0.03 +0.16 +0.69 -0.62 +0.74 -0.84 +0.19 +0.60 +1.23 -1.81 -0.01 -0.85 +1.22 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FC Fredericia: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 20/07 FC Nordsjælland 2 1.25 +0.75 +0.75
Sun 27/07 Silkeborg IF 2 1.26 +0.74 +1.49
Fri 01/08 FC København 0 0.46 -0.46 +1.03
Sun 10/08 FC Midtjylland 3 2.29 +0.71 +1.74
Fri 15/08 Sønderjyske Fodbold 3 1.94 +1.06 +2.80
Sun 24/08 Randers FC 1 1.20 -0.20 +2.60
Sun 31/08 AGF 1 0.51 +0.49 +3.09
Mon 15/09 Vejle 1 1.74 -0.74 +2.35
Fri 19/09 Odense Boldklub 2 1.96 +0.04 +2.39
Sun 28/09 Viborg FF 1 1.05 -0.05 +2.34
Sun 05/10 Brøndby IF 0 0.94 -0.94 +1.40
Mon 20/10 Sønderjyske Fodbold 0 1.10 -1.10 +0.30
Sun 26/10 FC Midtjylland 0 0.58 -0.58 -0.28
Sat 01/11 FC København 2 1.73 +0.27 -0.01
Sun 09/11 Viborg FF 0 0.24 -0.24 -0.25
Sun 23/11 FC Nordsjælland 0 0.25 -0.25 -0.50
Mon 01/12 Brøndby IF 3 1.41 +1.59 +1.09
Fri 05/12 Odense Boldklub 1 1.09 -0.09 +1.00
Mon 09/02 Vejle 3 2.61 +0.39 +1.39
Sun 15/02 AGF 1 0.97 +0.03 +1.42
Sun 22/02 Randers FC 2 1.84 +0.16 +1.58
Sun 01/03 Silkeborg IF 2 1.31 +0.69 +2.27
Fri 13/03 Randers FC 0 0.62 -0.62 +1.65
Sun 22/03 FC København 2 1.26 +0.74 +2.39
Mon 06/04 Odense Boldklub 0 0.84 -0.84 +1.55
Mon 13/04 Vejle 2 1.81 +0.19 +1.74
Sun 19/04 Silkeborg IF 2 1.40 +0.60 +2.34
Thu 23/04 Randers FC 2 0.77 +1.23 +3.57
Sun 26/04 Odense Boldklub 0 1.81 -1.81 +1.76
Sun 03/05 FC København 3 3.01 -0.01 +1.75
Sun 10/05 Vejle 0 0.85 -0.85 +0.90
Sun 17/05 Silkeborg IF 4 2.78 +1.22 +2.12

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

FC Fredericia xG trend

Current form -0.08 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 8 of 32 matches. The worst was against Brøndby IF on Sun 05/10 (-3.10).

npxG · last 6
1.59
npxGA · last 6
1.67
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +0.09 Sun 20/07 -0.68 Sun 27/07 -1.17 Fri 01/08 -0.03 Sun 10/08 +0.44 Fri 15/08 -0.16 Sun 24/08 -3.05 Sun 31/08 -0.10 Mon 15/09 -0.73 Fri 19/09 -0.56 Sun 28/09 -3.10 Sun 05/10 -2.03 Mon 20/10 -1.06 Sun 26/10 -0.33 Sat 01/11 -0.36 Sun 09/11 -2.36 Sun 23/11 -0.77 Mon 01/12 -0.78 Fri 05/12 -0.41 Mon 09/02 -0.15 Sun 15/02 +0.08 Sun 22/02 +0.44 Sun 01/03 -0.62 Fri 13/03 -2.88 Sun 22/03 -0.70 Mon 06/04 +0.20 Mon 13/04 -0.97 Sun 19/04 -0.72 Thu 23/04 +0.47 Sun 26/04 +0.69 Sun 03/05 -1.59 Sun 10/05 +1.63 Sun 17/05 -0.66 season avg
FC Fredericia: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 20/07 FC Nordsjælland 1.25 1.16 +0.09 +0.09
Sun 27/07 Silkeborg IF 1.26 1.94 -0.68 -0.29
Fri 01/08 FC København 0.46 1.63 -1.17 -0.59
Sun 10/08 FC Midtjylland 2.29 2.32 -0.03 -0.45
Fri 15/08 Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.94 1.50 +0.44 -0.27
Sun 24/08 Randers FC 1.20 1.36 -0.16 -0.25
Sun 31/08 AGF 0.51 3.56 -3.05 -0.65
Mon 15/09 Vejle 1.74 1.84 -0.10 -0.58
Fri 19/09 Odense Boldklub 1.96 2.69 -0.73 -0.60
Sun 28/09 Viborg FF 1.05 1.61 -0.56 -0.60
Sun 05/10 Brøndby IF 0.94 4.04 -3.10 -0.82
Mon 20/10 Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.10 3.13 -2.03 -0.92
Sun 26/10 FC Midtjylland 0.58 1.64 -1.06 -0.93
Sat 01/11 FC København 1.73 2.06 -0.33 -0.89
Sun 09/11 Viborg FF 0.31 0.67 -0.36 -0.86
Sun 23/11 FC Nordsjælland 0.25 2.61 -2.36 -0.95
Mon 01/12 Brøndby IF 1.41 2.18 -0.77 -0.94
Fri 05/12 Odense Boldklub 1.09 1.87 -0.78 -0.93
Mon 09/02 Vejle 2.63 3.04 -0.41 -0.90
Sun 15/02 AGF 0.98 1.13 -0.15 -0.87
Sun 22/02 Randers FC 1.86 1.78 +0.08 -0.82
Sun 01/03 Silkeborg IF 1.34 0.90 +0.44 -0.76
Fri 13/03 Randers FC 0.62 1.24 -0.62 -0.76
Sun 22/03 FC København 1.26 4.14 -2.88 -0.85
Mon 06/04 Odense Boldklub 0.83 1.53 -0.70 -0.84
Mon 13/04 Vejle 1.41 1.21 +0.20 -0.80
Sun 19/04 Silkeborg IF 1.15 2.12 -0.97 -0.81
Thu 23/04 Randers FC 0.95 1.67 -0.72 -0.80
Sun 26/04 Odense Boldklub 1.92 1.45 +0.47 -0.76
Sun 03/05 FC København 2.21 1.52 +0.69 -0.71
Sun 10/05 Vejle 0.73 2.32 -1.59 -0.74
Sun 17/05 Silkeborg IF 2.55 0.92 +1.63 -0.66

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.30 npxG and 1.96 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 8 hardest of 12 in Superliga (Denmark)
−0.01 xG vs league average
Over 32 league matches
Last 5
number 8 hardest of 12 in Superliga (Denmark)
−0.09 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.01 xG vs league average · over 32 matches · tied number 8 hardest of 12

  1. Silkeborg IF Home −0.62
  2. Vejle Away −0.29
  3. FC København Home +0.52
  4. Odense Boldklub Home −0.07
  5. Randers FC Away +0.01
  6. Silkeborg IF Away −0.62
  7. Vejle Home −0.29
  8. Odense Boldklub Away −0.07
  9. FC København Away +0.52
  10. Randers FC Home +0.01
  11. Silkeborg IF Home −0.62
  12. Randers FC Away +0.01
  13. AGF Home +0.37
  14. Vejle Away −0.29
  15. Odense Boldklub Home −0.07
  16. Brøndby IF Away +0.17
  17. FC Nordsjælland Away +0.17
  18. Viborg FF Home +0.11
  19. FC København Away +0.52
  20. FC Midtjylland Home +0.22
  21. Sønderjyske Fodbold Away −0.24
  22. Brøndby IF Home +0.17
  23. Viborg FF Away +0.11
  24. Odense Boldklub Away −0.07
  25. Vejle Home −0.29
  26. AGF Away +0.37
  27. Randers FC Home +0.01
  28. Sønderjyske Fodbold Home −0.24
  29. FC Midtjylland Away +0.22
  30. FC København Home +0.52
  31. Silkeborg IF Away −0.62
  32. FC Nordsjælland Home +0.17

Last 5

−0.09 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 8 hardest of 12

  1. Silkeborg IF Home −0.62
  2. Vejle Away −0.29
  3. FC København Home +0.52
  4. Odense Boldklub Home −0.07
  5. Randers FC Away +0.01

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FC Fredericia shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. FC Fredericia take 12.2 shots a match (league 13.4) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.11), #8 in Superliga (Denmark) for volume and #10 for quality. 69% of their shots come from inside the box (league 67%).

Attack

Shot volume
12.2 shots per match
#8/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC København 17.7
#2 AGF 15.6
#3 FC Midtjylland 14.4
#4 Brøndby IF 14.3
#5 FC Nordsjælland 13.5
#6 Viborg FF 13.4
#7 Randers FC 12.5
#8 FC Fredericia 12.2
#9 Odense Boldklub 12.2
#10 Sønderjyske Fodbold 12.1
#11 Silkeborg IF 11.5
#12 Vejle 11.1
League avg
13.4
Total
390 shots from 32 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#10/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Odense Boldklub 0.13
#2 AGF 0.12
#3 Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.12
#4 FC København 0.11
#5 Randers FC 0.11
#6 FC Nordsjælland 0.11
#7 Viborg FF 0.11
#8 Brøndby IF 0.11
#9 FC Midtjylland 0.11
#10 FC Fredericia 0.11
#11 Silkeborg IF 0.10
#12 Vejle 0.09
League avg
0.11
Total
41.51 npxG from 390 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
18.1 shots per match
#12/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC København 9.8
#2 AGF 11.3
#3 FC Midtjylland 12.1
#4 Randers FC 12.4
#5 Brøndby IF 12.5
#6 FC Nordsjælland 12.6
#7 Odense Boldklub 13.0
#8 Vejle 13.4
#9 Viborg FF 13.8
#10 Sønderjyske Fodbold 15.3
#11 Silkeborg IF 16.2
#12 FC Fredericia 18.1
League avg
13.4
Total
579 shots allowed from 32 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#5/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Brøndby IF 0.10
#2 Randers FC 0.10
#3 AGF 0.11
#4 Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.11
#5 FC Fredericia 0.11
#6 Odense Boldklub 0.11
#7 Vejle 0.11
#8 Viborg FF 0.11
#9 FC Midtjylland 0.11
#10 Silkeborg IF 0.12
#11 FC København 0.12
#12 FC Nordsjælland 0.12
League avg
0.11
Total
62.78 npxGA from 579 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

69% inside the box

League avg 67%

From 270 of 390 shots over 32 matches

Shots allowed, location

65% allowed inside the box

League avg 67%

From 377 of 579 shots allowed over 32 matches

How the shot figures are made →

FC Fredericia home and away xG

FC Fredericia per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 16 16
xG / match 1.36 1.32
xGA / match 1.69 2.44
xGD / match -0.33 -1.12
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.16 0.76

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FC Fredericia match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 5

Matches
5
xG / match
1.84
xGA / match
1.82
xGD / match
+0.02
Points
5 of 15
  1. Sun 17/05 Silkeborg IF H Best underlying xG 2.78 xGA 1.46 P xGD +1.32
  2. Sun 10/05 Vejle A Weakest underlying xG 0.85 xGA 2.50 xGD -1.65
  3. Sun 03/05 FC København H xG 3.01 P xGA 2.39 P xGD +0.62
  4. Sun 26/04 Odense Boldklub H xG 1.81 xGA 1.31 xGD +0.50
  5. Thu 23/04 Randers FC A xG 0.77 xGA 1.45 xGD -0.68

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.01. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FC Fredericia in Superliga (Denmark)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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