xgEdge

Viborg FF's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 4 of 4 matching results

9 played this season

4 available results · Last 5 requested

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss

5 pts 4–4 goals 0 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
6.05 – 3.70
1.51 – 0.93 per match
xGD
+2.35
+0.59 per match
xG record
3 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 0 against them

Small sample: 4 matches.

Comparable xG: 4 of 4 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

5 pts 7.3 xPts

−2.3 vs xPts

Small sample: 4 matches.

Matched xPts: 4 of 4 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 5 · All competitions · Away

Viborg FF's mixed record sits behind chances that argue for more. They out-created the opponent in 3 of 4 matches, for +2.35 xG difference overall on 6.05–3.70. Their points total of 5 sits 2.3 below the model's 7.3 xPts, so the chances have clearly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 4 results Viborg FF are 2.26 points below their xPts. The gap was widest at -2.93, against Sønderjyske Fodbold on Fri 07/08.

Points
5
xPts
7.26
Gap
-2.26
Sun 02/08 Fri 07/08 Fri 28/08 Sun 13/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.82 -2.93 -2.13 -2.26 -1.82 -1.11 +0.80 -0.13 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Viborg FF: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sun 02/08 Brøndby IF 0 1.82 -1.82 -1.82
Fri 07/08 Sønderjyske Fodbold 1 2.11 -1.11 -2.93
Fri 28/08 AC Horsens 3 2.20 +0.80 -2.13
Sun 13/09 Silkeborg IF 1 1.13 -0.13 -2.26

Scores and xG

Viborg FF first

  • Away Superliga (Denmark) Draw with even chances

    xG 0.71

    xGA 0.91

    xGD -0.20

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Silkeborg IF, Sun 13/09

    The match was drawn and the chance difference was approximately even. The two readings broadly align.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.13
    Points minus xPts
    -0.13

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Superliga (Denmark) Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.92

    xGA 0.83

    xGD +1.09

    3:2 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · AC Horsens, Fri 28/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.20
    Points minus xPts
    +0.80

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Superliga (Denmark) Draw against the chances

    xG 1.47

    xGA 0.62

    xGD +0.85

    0:0 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Sønderjyske Fodbold, Fri 07/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    2.11
    Points minus xPts
    -1.11

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Superliga (Denmark) Loss against the chances

    xG 1.95

    xGA 1.34

    xGD +0.61

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Brøndby IF, Sun 02/08

    The team lost despite recording a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.82
    Points minus xPts
    -1.82

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →