xgEdge

FC Zürich's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 5 of 9 matching results

9 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss

8 pts 10–10 goals 0 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
7.59 – 10.08
1.52 – 2.02 per match
xGD
-2.49
-0.50 per match
xG record
1 with the chances, 3 with even chances, 1 against them

Comparable xG: 5 of 5 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

8 pts 6.3 xPts

+1.7 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 5 of 5 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 5 · All competitions · All venues

FC Zürich's mixed record runs ahead of the chances they created and conceded. They out-created the opponent in 3 of 5 matches, for −2.49 xG difference overall on 7.59–10.08. Their points total of 8 sits 1.7 above the model's 6.3 xPts, so the results have clearly outrun the chances.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 5 results FC Zürich are 1.74 points above their xPts. The gap was widest at +2.09, against FC Vaduz on Sun 13/09.

Points
8
xPts
6.26
Gap
+1.74
Sat 29/08 Tue 01/09 Sat 05/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +1.14 -0.37 +0.56 +2.09 +1.74 +1.14 -1.51 +0.93 +1.53 -0.35 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
FC Zürich: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 29/08 FC Lausanne-Sport 3 1.86 +1.14 +1.14
Tue 01/09 Young Boys 0 1.51 -1.51 -0.37
Sat 05/09 Grasshopper Club Zürich 1 0.07 +0.93 +0.56
Sun 13/09 FC Vaduz 3 1.47 +1.53 +2.09
Sat 19/09 FC Sion 1 1.35 -0.35 +1.74

Scores and xG

FC Zürich first

  • Away Swiss Super League Draw with even chances

    xG 2.22

    xGA 2.28

    xGD -0.06

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Sion, Sat 19/09

    The match was drawn and the chance difference was approximately even. The two readings broadly align.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.35
    Points minus xPts
    -0.35

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Swiss Super League Win with even chances

    xG 1.18

    xGA 1.03

    xGD +0.15

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Vaduz, Sun 13/09

    The team won, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was stronger than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.47
    Points minus xPts
    +1.53

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Draw against the chances

    xG 0.77

    xGA 4.16

    xGD -3.39

    2:2 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Grasshopper Club Zürich, Sat 05/09

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.07
    Points minus xPts
    +0.93

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Swiss Super League Loss with even chances

    xG 1.71

    xGA 1.52

    xGD +0.19

    2:4 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Young Boys, Tue 01/09

    The team lost, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was weaker than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.52
    Points minus xPts
    -1.52

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.71

    xGA 1.09

    xGD +0.62

    3:2 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Lausanne-Sport, Sat 29/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.86
    Points minus xPts
    +1.14

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

Grasshopper Club Zürich 2:2

· Away xG / xGA 0.77 – 4.16

Goal difference
0
xGD
-3.39
GD minus xGD
+3.39

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

Young Boys 2:4

· Home xG / xGA 1.71 – 1.52

Goal difference
-2
xGD
+0.19
GD minus xGD
-2.19

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →