xgEdge

Austria Wien's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 3 of 3 matching results

7 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses

3 pts 2–4 goals −2 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
2.24 – 6.88
0.75 – 2.29 per match
xGD
-4.64
-1.55 per match
xG record
0 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 2 against them

Small sample: 3 matches.

Comparable xG: 3 of 3 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

3 pts 1.9 xPts

+1.1 vs xPts

Small sample: 3 matches.

Matched xPts: 3 of 3 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · Home

Austria Wien's mixed record runs ahead of the chances they created and conceded. They out-created the opponent in 1 of 3 matches, for −4.64 xG difference overall on 2.24–6.88. Their points total of 3 sits 1.1 above the model's 1.9 xPts, so the results have clearly outrun the chances.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 3 results Austria Wien are 1.13 points above their xPts.

Points
3
xPts
1.87
Gap
+1.13
Sun 09/08 Wed 02/09 Sun 13/09 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.03 -0.48 +1.13 -0.03 -0.45 +1.61 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Austria Wien: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 LASK 0 0.03 -0.03 -0.03
Wed 02/09 WSG Tirol 0 0.45 -0.45 -0.48
Sun 13/09 SC Austria Lustenau 3 1.39 +1.61 +1.13

Scores and xG

Austria Wien first

  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Win with even chances

    xG 1.52

    xGA 1.48

    xGD +0.04

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SC Austria Lustenau, Sun 13/09

    The team won, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was stronger than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.40
    Points minus xPts
    +1.60

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.51

    xGA 1.69

    xGD -1.18

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · WSG Tirol, Wed 02/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.45
    Points minus xPts
    -0.45

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.21

    xGA 3.71

    xGD -3.50

    0:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · LASK, Sun 09/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.03
    Points minus xPts
    -0.03

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →