xgEdge

Austria Wien's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 4 of 4 matching results

7 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses

4 pts 5–9 goals −4 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
2.93 – 6.10
0.73 – 1.53 per match
xGD
-3.17
-0.79 per match
xG record
0 with the chances, 2 with even chances, 2 against them

Small sample: 4 matches.

Comparable xG: 4 of 4 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

4 pts 3.6 xPts

+0.4 vs xPts

Small sample: 4 matches.

Matched xPts: 4 of 4 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · Away

Austria Wien's mixed record runs ahead of the chances they created and conceded. They out-created the opponent in 2 of 4 matches, for −3.17 xG difference overall on 2.93–6.10. Their points total of 4 sits 0.4 above the model's 3.6 xPts, so the results have slightly outrun the chances.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 4 results Austria Wien are 0.45 points above their xPts. The gap was widest at +1.38, against TSV Hartberg on Sun 16/08.

Points
4
xPts
3.55
Gap
+0.45
Sun 02/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 30/08 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.11 +1.38 +0.77 +0.45 -0.11 +1.49 -0.61 -0.32 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Austria Wien: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sun 02/08 Wolfsberger AC 0 0.11 -0.11 -0.11
Sun 16/08 TSV Hartberg 3 1.51 +1.49 +1.38
Sun 30/08 Red Bull Salzburg 0 0.61 -0.61 +0.77
Sat 19/09 Grazer AK 1902 1 1.32 -0.32 +0.45

Scores and xG

Austria Wien first

  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Draw with even chances

    xG 0.83

    xGA 0.80

    xGD +0.03

    2:2 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Grazer AK 1902, Sat 19/09

    The match was drawn and the chance difference was approximately even. The two readings broadly align.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.32
    Points minus xPts
    -0.32

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.76

    xGA 1.71

    xGD -0.95

    1:4 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Red Bull Salzburg, Sun 30/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.61
    Points minus xPts
    -0.61

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Win with even chances

    xG 0.99

    xGA 0.79

    xGD +0.20

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · TSV Hartberg, Sun 16/08

    The team won, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was stronger than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.51
    Points minus xPts
    +1.49

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.35

    xGA 2.80

    xGD -2.45

    0:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Wolfsberger AC, Sun 02/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.11
    Points minus xPts
    -0.11

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →