xgEdge

WSG Tirol's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 4 of 4 matching results

7 played this season

Reset filters

Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
2 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses

6 pts 6–6 goals 0 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
5.49 – 5.79
1.37 – 1.45 per match
xGD
-0.30
-0.08 per match
xG record
2 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 2 against them

Small sample: 4 matches.

Comparable xG: 4 of 4 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

6 pts 5.7 xPts

+0.3 vs xPts

Small sample: 4 matches.

Matched xPts: 4 of 4 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · Away

WSG Tirol's mixed record matches the chances at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 2 of 4 matches, for −0.30 xG difference overall on 5.49–5.79. Their points total of 6 lands on the model's 5.7 xPts, so the results have followed the chances closely.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 4 results WSG Tirol are 0.26 points above their xPts. The gap was widest at +0.36, against Austria Wien on Wed 02/09.

Points
6
xPts
5.74
Gap
+0.26
Fri 07/08 Fri 28/08 Wed 02/09 Fri 18/09 -1 0 +1 -0.83 -0.30 +0.36 +0.26 -0.83 +0.53 +0.66 -0.10 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
WSG Tirol: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Fri 07/08 SC Rheindorf Altach 0 0.83 -0.83 -0.83
Fri 28/08 SC Austria Lustenau 3 2.47 +0.53 -0.30
Wed 02/09 Austria Wien 3 2.34 +0.66 +0.36
Fri 18/09 SK Rapid Wien 0 0.10 -0.10 +0.26

Scores and xG

WSG Tirol first

  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.36

    xGA 2.87

    xGD -2.51

    0:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Rapid Wien, Fri 18/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.10
    Points minus xPts
    -0.10

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.69

    xGA 0.51

    xGD +1.18

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Austria Wien, Wed 02/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.34
    Points minus xPts
    +0.66

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Win backed by the chances

    xG 2.60

    xGA 0.93

    xGD +1.67

    4:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SC Austria Lustenau, Fri 28/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.47
    Points minus xPts
    +0.53

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.84

    xGA 1.48

    xGD -0.64

    1:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SC Rheindorf Altach, Fri 07/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.83
    Points minus xPts
    -0.83

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →