1. FC Union Berlin 1:1 FC St. Pauli: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Sunday, 05/04/2026 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Union Berlin Home 1.95 xG · 16 shots

FC St. Pauli Away 0.33 xG · 9 shots

11 1. FC Union Berlin had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

25' Mathias Pereira Lage FC St. Pauli · 0.02 xG chance 0–1
52' Andrej Ilić 1. FC Union Berlin · 0.21 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

1. FC Union Berlin FC St. Pauli

Shots: 16; 9
On target: 8; 2
Inside the box: 13; 3
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.04
Open play xG: 1.20; 0.12
Set-piece xG: 0.80; 0.20
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.01 for 1. FC Union Berlin and 0.33 for FC St. Pauli.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 2.32 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

1. FC Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

1. FC Union Berlin

0.80 xG created 2.34 xGA

L 2.11 created, 1.82 conceded against Hamburger SV
W 0.64 created, 0.95 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L 0.13 created, 2.68 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
L 1.16 created, 1.96 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
W 0.54 created, 1.11 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 0.21 created, 5.53 conceded against FC Bayern München

FC St. Pauli

0.54 xG created 1.48 xGA

L 0.49 created, 1.40 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W 0.21 created, 1.63 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
W 0.78 created, 2.71 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
D 0.48 created, 0.41 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
L 0.51 created, 0.71 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
L 0.76 created, 2.04 conceded against SC Freiburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

1. FC Union Berlin: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

FC St. Pauli 0:1 1. FC Union Berlin 23/11/2025 xG 0.72 – 0.55

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.