FC St. Pauli 2:1 SV Werder Bremen: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Sunday, 22/02/2026 at 17:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli Home 0.21 xG · 4 shots

SV Werder Bremen Away 1.63 xG · 13 shots

21 The result went against the chances

Goals

55' Hauke Wahl FC St. Pauli · 0.02 xG chance 1–0
62' Jovan Milošević SV Werder Bremen · 0.33 xG chance 1–1
70' Joel Chima Fujita FC St. Pauli · 0.06 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

FC St. Pauli SV Werder Bremen

Shots: 4; 13
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 4; 11
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.14
Open play xG: 0.20; 1.02
Set-piece xG: 0.02; 0.86
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.21 for FC St. Pauli and 1.89 for SV Werder Bremen.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

17 shots · 2.10 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

FC St. Pauli
SV Werder Bremen
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

FC St. Pauli

1.16 xG created 1.38 xGA

L 0.54 created, 3.20 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
D 0.26 created, 0.35 conceded against Hamburger SV
D 1.45 created, 1.09 conceded against RB Leipzig
L 2.43 created, 1.35 conceded against FC Augsburg
W 1.77 created, 0.88 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
L 0.49 created, 1.40 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen

SV Werder Bremen

1.24 xG created 1.24 xGA

D 1.96 created, 0.98 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
L 0.70 created, 2.56 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L 1.83 created, 0.61 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
D 1.16 created, 0.90 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
L 0.83 created, 0.46 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 0.98 created, 1.90 conceded against FC Bayern München

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

FC St. Pauli: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

SV Werder Bremen 1:0 FC St. Pauli 04/10/2025 xG 1.86 – 0.76

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.