1. FC Union Berlin 1:4 SV Werder Bremen: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Sunday, 08/03/2026 at 17:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Union Berlin Home 1.16 xG · 9 shots

SV Werder Bremen Away 1.96 xG · 15 shots

14 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

18' Derrick Köhn (pen.) 1. FC Union Berlin · 0.82 xG chance 1–0
31' Olivier Deman SV Werder Bremen · 0.04 xG chance 1–1
35' Jens Stage SV Werder Bremen · 0.08 xG chance 1–2
66' Marco Grüll SV Werder Bremen · 0.88 xG chance 1–3
90' Patrice Čović SV Werder Bremen · 0.25 xG chance 1–4

The shots behind it

1. FC Union Berlin SV Werder Bremen

Shots: 9; 15
On target: 2; 5
Inside the box: 4; 9
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.13
Open play xG: 0.14; 1.88
Set-piece xG: 0.23; 0.12
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.37 for 1. FC Union Berlin and 1.96 for SV Werder Bremen.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 3.19 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

1. FC Union Berlin
SV Werder Bremen
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

1. FC Union Berlin

1.16 xG created 1.47 xGA

L 1.24 created, 1.89 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
L 1.61 created, 1.37 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
D 1.25 created, 0.14 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
L 2.11 created, 1.82 conceded against Hamburger SV
W 0.64 created, 0.95 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L 0.13 created, 2.68 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach

SV Werder Bremen

1.51 xG created 0.91 xGA

L 1.83 created, 0.61 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
D 1.16 created, 0.90 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
L 0.83 created, 0.46 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 0.98 created, 1.90 conceded against FC Bayern München
L 1.63 created, 0.21 conceded against FC St. Pauli
W 2.64 created, 1.36 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

1. FC Union Berlin: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

SV Werder Bremen 1:0 1. FC Union Berlin 24/10/2025 xG 0.95 – 0.58

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.