SV Werder Bremen 0:2 TSG Hoffenheim: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Tuesday, 27/01/2026 at 20:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

SV Werder Bremen Home 1.83 xG · 27 shots

TSG Hoffenheim Away 0.61 xG · 12 shots

02 The result went against the chances

Goals

44' Alexander Prass TSG Hoffenheim · 0.05 xG chance 0–1
54' Grischa Prömel TSG Hoffenheim · 0.10 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

SV Werder Bremen TSG Hoffenheim

Shots: 27; 12
On target: 3; 3
Inside the box: 18; 7
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.05
Open play xG: 1.54; 0.17
Set-piece xG: 0.25; 0.44
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.83 for SV Werder Bremen.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

39 shots · 2.40 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

SV Werder Bremen
TSG Hoffenheim
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

SV Werder Bremen

0.90 xG created 1.75 xGA

L 0.71 created, 1.31 conceded against Hamburger SV
L 0.91 created, 2.17 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
D 0.60 created, 1.03 conceded against FC Augsburg
L 0.52 created, 2.42 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
D 1.96 created, 0.98 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
L 0.70 created, 2.56 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen

TSG Hoffenheim

1.48 xG created 1.08 xGA

L 1.14 created, 1.26 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
W 1.31 created, 1.38 conceded against Hamburger SV
D 0.13 created, 1.27 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
W 3.42 created, 0.94 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
W 1.55 created, 0.96 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W 1.35 created, 0.65 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.