1. FSV Mainz 05 0:2 Borussia Dortmund: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 27/09/2025 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

1. FSV Mainz 05 Home 0.48 xG · 8 shots

Borussia Dortmund Away 1.44 xG · 10 shots

02 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

27' Daniel Svensson Borussia Dortmund · 0.39 xG chance 0–1
40' Karim Adeyemi Borussia Dortmund · 0.43 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

1. FSV Mainz 05 Borussia Dortmund

Shots: 8; 10
On target: 2; 4
Inside the box: 6; 8
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.14
Open play xG: 0.21; 1.21
Set-piece xG: 0.27; 0.23
Penalties: —; —

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

18 shots · 1.92 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

1. FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Dortmund
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

1. FSV Mainz 05

1.72 xG created 1.22 xGA

L 1.52 created, 1.36 conceded against 1. FC Köln
D 1.95 created, 0.62 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
L 0.90 created, 1.79 conceded against RB Leipzig
W 2.52 created, 1.12 conceded against FC Augsburg

Borussia Dortmund

1.98 xG created 0.91 xGA

D 1.56 created, 1.29 conceded against FC St. Pauli
W 2.51 created, 1.14 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
W 2.76 created, 0.40 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
W 1.10 created, 0.80 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.