Borussia Dortmund 1:1 RB Leipzig: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 04/10/2025 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund Home 0.89 xG · 15 shots

RB Leipzig Away 1.09 xG · 13 shots

11 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

7' Christoph Baumgartner RB Leipzig · 0.38 xG chance 0–1
23' Yan Couto Borussia Dortmund · 0.14 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Borussia Dortmund RB Leipzig

Shots: 15; 13
On target: 3; 3
Inside the box: 7; 8
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.69; 0.61
Set-piece xG: 0.21; 0.51
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.89 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.12 for RB Leipzig.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 2.02 xG

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Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Borussia Dortmund

1.87 xG created 0.82 xGA

D 1.56 created, 1.29 conceded against FC St. Pauli
W 2.51 created, 1.14 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
W 2.76 created, 0.40 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
W 1.10 created, 0.80 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
W 1.44 created, 0.48 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05

RB Leipzig

2.05 xG created 1.66 xGA

L 0.54 created, 1.63 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 2.23 created, 1.02 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
W 1.79 created, 0.90 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
W 3.28 created, 1.70 conceded against 1. FC Köln
W 2.41 created, 3.05 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.