FC Augsburg 2:2 SC Freiburg: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Sunday, 18/01/2026 at 17:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

FC Augsburg Home 0.85 xG · 13 shots

SC Freiburg Away 1.16 xG · 12 shots

22 SC Freiburg had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

47' Alexis Claude-Maurice FC Augsburg · 0.17 xG chance 1–0
49' Elvis Rexhbeçaj FC Augsburg · 0.01 xG chance 2–0
59' Yuito Suzuki SC Freiburg · 0.10 xG chance 2–1
62' Igor Matanović SC Freiburg · 0.52 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

FC Augsburg SC Freiburg

Shots: 13; 12
On target: 5; 5
Inside the box: 10; 7
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.10
Open play xG: 0.72; 0.33
Set-piece xG: 0.12; 0.88
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.85 for FC Augsburg and 1.20 for SC Freiburg.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 2.05 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

FC Augsburg
SC Freiburg
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

FC Augsburg

1.04 xG created 1.61 xGA

L 0.96 created, 2.08 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
W 1.28 created, 1.63 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L 0.62 created, 1.05 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
D 1.03 created, 0.60 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
L 1.79 created, 2.99 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
D 0.55 created, 1.31 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin

SC Freiburg

2.25 xG created 1.34 xGA

W 4.60 created, 0.11 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
L 0.84 created, 2.22 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
D 1.50 created, 0.93 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
W 3.53 created, 1.66 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
W 2.85 created, 0.66 conceded against Hamburger SV
L 0.17 created, 2.48 conceded against RB Leipzig

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

FC Augsburg: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

SC Freiburg 1:3 FC Augsburg 23/08/2025 xG 2.60 – 1.34

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.