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Saturday, 17/01/2026 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 3:2 FC St. Pauli

Borussia Dortmund Home 3.20 xG · 10 shots
FC St. Pauli Away 0.54 xG · 9 shots
32 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 45' Julian Brandt Borussia Dortmund · 0.70 xG chance 1–0
  2. 54' Karim Adeyemi Borussia Dortmund · 0.79 xG chance 2–0
  3. 62' James Sands FC St. Pauli · 0.10 xG chance 2–1
  4. 72' Ricky-Jade Jones FC St. Pauli · 0.03 xG chance 2–2
  5. 90' Emre Can (pen.) Borussia Dortmund · 0.82 xG chance 3–2

The shots behind it

Borussia Dortmund FC St. Pauli
Shots
10
9
On target
6
5
Inside the box
7
7
xG per shot
0.32
0.07
Open play xG
1.69
0.41
Set-piece xG
0.70
0.24
Penalties
1
0
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.42 for Borussia Dortmund and 0.65 for FC St. Pauli.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Borussia Dortmund · Emre Can · 90' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Borussia Dortmund · Karim Adeyemi · 54' · Goal · 14 m · 0.79 xG Borussia Dortmund · Julian Brandt · 45' · Goal · 6 m · 0.70 xG Borussia Dortmund · Waldemar Anton · 81' · No goal · 3 m · 0.24 xG Borussia Dortmund · Nico Schlotterbeck · 81' · No goal · 4 m · 0.18 xG Borussia Dortmund · Julian Brandt · 13' · No goal · 10 m · 0.16 xG FC St. Pauli · Ricky-Jade Jones · 78' · No goal · 4 m · 0.16 xG Borussia Dortmund · Julian Brandt · 26' · No goal · 19 m · 0.14 xG Borussia Dortmund · Nico Schlotterbeck · 39' · No goal · 6 m · 0.14 xG FC St. Pauli · Mathias Pereira Lage · 27' · No goal · 4 m · 0.12 xG FC St. Pauli · Martijn Kaars · 18' · No goal · 9 m · 0.11 xG FC St. Pauli · James Sands · 62' · Goal · 7 m · 0.10 xG FC St. Pauli · Lars Ritzka · 22' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG FC St. Pauli · Joel Chima Fujita · 82' · No goal · 19 m · 0.05 xG FC St. Pauli · Ricky-Jade Jones · 72' · Goal · 11 m · 0.03 xG FC St. Pauli · Ricky-Jade Jones · 66' · No goal · 7 m · 0.02 xG Borussia Dortmund · Serhou Guirassy · 80' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Borussia Dortmund · Serhou Guirassy · 84' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG FC St. Pauli · Ricky-Jade Jones · 90' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

19 shots · 3.86 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Borussia Dortmund
  • FC St. Pauli
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Borussia Dortmund

1.57 xG created 0.97 xGA

  • W 0.99 created, 0.82 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • W 1.26 created, 1.14 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
  • D 0.93 created, 1.50 conceded against SC Freiburg
  • W 1.43 created, 0.28 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
  • D 2.38 created, 1.58 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
  • W 2.42 created, 0.52 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
FC St. Pauli

0.58 xG created 1.66 xGA

  • L 0.72 created, 0.55 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
  • L 0.64 created, 2.30 conceded against FC Bayern München
  • D 0.14 created, 1.66 conceded against 1. FC Köln
  • W 0.80 created, 2.44 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
  • D 0.30 created, 1.12 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • L 0.89 created, 1.88 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Borussia Dortmund: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.