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Match report · Bundesliga

Hamburger SV 0:1 VfL Wolfsburg

Hamburger SV Home 2.77 xG · 27 shots
VfL Wolfsburg Away 0.37 xG · 6 shots
01 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 15' Adam Daghim VfL Wolfsburg · 0.14 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Hamburger SV VfL Wolfsburg
Shots
27
6
On target
6
2
Inside the box
18
3
xG per shot
0.11
0.06
Open play xG
1.18
0.37
Set-piece xG
0.90
0.01
Penalties
1
0
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.05 for Hamburger SV and 0.38 for VfL Wolfsburg.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Hamburger SV · Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · 45' · No goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Hamburger SV · Nicolai Remberg · 63' · No goal · 4 m · 0.40 xG Hamburger SV · Rayan Philippe · 81' · No goal · 7 m · 0.16 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Adam Daghim · 15' · Goal · 10 m · 0.14 xG Hamburger SV · Yussuf Poulsen · 71' · No goal · 4 m · 0.14 xG Hamburger SV · Luka Vušković · 90' · No goal · 8 m · 0.14 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Aaron Zehnter · 55' · No goal · 9 m · 0.13 xG Hamburger SV · Albert Sambi Lokonga · 45' · No goal · 7 m · 0.11 xG Hamburger SV · Albert Sambi Lokonga · 47' · No goal · 6 m · 0.09 xG Hamburger SV · Miro Muheim · 58' · No goal · 5 m · 0.09 xG Hamburger SV · Jean-Luc Dompé · 41' · No goal · 11 m · 0.08 xG Hamburger SV · Miro Muheim · 45' · No goal · 7 m · 0.08 xG Hamburger SV · Fábio Vieira · 66' · No goal · 21 m · 0.08 xG Hamburger SV · Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · 48' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG Hamburger SV · Yussuf Poulsen · 68' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG Hamburger SV · Miro Muheim · 86' · No goal · 16 m · 0.06 xG Hamburger SV · Jean-Luc Dompé · 87' · No goal · 18 m · 0.06 xG Hamburger SV · Rayan Philippe · 3' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Hamburger SV · Nicolai Remberg · 58' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG Hamburger SV · Rayan Philippe · 65' · No goal · 8 m · 0.05 xG Hamburger SV · Fábio Vieira · 81' · No goal · 19 m · 0.05 xG Hamburger SV · Immanuel Pherai · 89' · No goal · 23 m · 0.05 xG Hamburger SV · Albert Sambi Lokonga · 18' · No goal · 5 m · 0.04 xG Hamburger SV · Nicolai Remberg · 18' · No goal · 8 m · 0.04 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Christian Eriksen · 32' · No goal · 4 m · 0.04 xG Hamburger SV · William Mikelbrencis · 18' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Hamburger SV · Rayan Philippe · 45' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Hamburger SV · Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · 49' · No goal · 18 m · 0.03 xG Hamburger SV · Miro Muheim · 52' · No goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Adam Daghim · 84' · No goal · 33 m · 0.03 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Joakim Mæhle · 90' · No goal · 51 m · 0.03 xG Hamburger SV · Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · 61' · No goal · 11 m · 0.02 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Mohamed Amoura · 32' · No goal · 23 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

33 shots · 3.28 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Hamburger SV
  • VfL Wolfsburg
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Hamburger SV

1.30 xG created 1.68 xGA

  • L 0.35 created, 1.44 conceded against FC St. Pauli
  • L 0.58 created, 2.54 conceded against FC Bayern München
  • W 2.35 created, 2.98 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
  • D 1.08 created, 1.37 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
  • W 1.91 created, 0.67 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • L 1.53 created, 1.06 conceded against RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg

1.25 xG created 1.79 xGA

  • D 0.62 created, 1.95 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • D 1.50 created, 1.65 conceded against 1. FC Köln
  • L 0.80 created, 1.10 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
  • L 3.05 created, 2.41 conceded against RB Leipzig
  • L 1.19 created, 1.71 conceded against FC Augsburg
  • L 0.32 created, 1.90 conceded against VfB Stuttgart

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.