Borussia Dortmund 2:0 TSG Hoffenheim: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Sunday, 07/12/2025 at 17:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund Home 1.26 xG · 8 shots

TSG Hoffenheim Away 1.14 xG · 11 shots

20 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

43' Julian Brandt Borussia Dortmund · 0.79 xG chance 1–0
60' Nico Schlotterbeck Borussia Dortmund · 0.03 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Borussia Dortmund TSG Hoffenheim

Shots: 8; 11
On target: 4; 3
Inside the box: 6; 5
xG per shot: 0.20; 0.11
Open play xG: 1.47; 0.45
Set-piece xG: 0.11; 0.72
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.58 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.15 for TSG Hoffenheim.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

19 shots · 2.75 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Borussia Dortmund
TSG Hoffenheim
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

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Last 6 · xG per match

Borussia Dortmund

1.47 xG created 1.11 xGA

L 1.58 created, 2.48 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 1.90 created, 0.39 conceded against 1. FC Köln
W 0.32 created, 0.83 conceded against FC Augsburg
D 1.03 created, 0.57 conceded against Hamburger SV
D 2.99 created, 1.55 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
W 0.99 created, 0.82 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen

TSG Hoffenheim

1.87 xG created 1.41 xGA

W 2.34 created, 0.99 conceded against FC St. Pauli
W 2.37 created, 1.11 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
W 1.23 created, 1.54 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
W 1.82 created, 1.81 conceded against RB Leipzig
D 1.38 created, 2.03 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
W 2.08 created, 0.96 conceded against FC Augsburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.