TSG Hoffenheim 0:1 1. FC Köln: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Friday, 03/10/2025 at 20:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

TSG Hoffenheim Home 1.12 xG · 15 shots

1. FC Köln Away 0.94 xG · 10 shots

01 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

16' Said El Mala 1. FC Köln · 0.42 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

TSG Hoffenheim 1. FC Köln

Shots: 15; 10
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 12; 7
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.12
Open play xG: 0.83; 1.08
Set-piece xG: 0.26; 0.12
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.12 for TSG Hoffenheim and 1.20 for 1. FC Köln.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 2.29 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

TSG Hoffenheim
1. FC Köln
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

TSG Hoffenheim

1.57 xG created 1.84 xGA

W 0.45 created, 0.71 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L 1.37 created, 1.56 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
W 2.76 created, 2.59 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
L 0.75 created, 3.04 conceded against FC Bayern München
D 2.54 created, 1.31 conceded against SC Freiburg

1. FC Köln

1.59 xG created 1.82 xGA

W 1.36 created, 1.52 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
W 2.11 created, 0.91 conceded against SC Freiburg
D 1.65 created, 1.50 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
L 1.70 created, 3.28 conceded against RB Leipzig
L 1.13 created, 1.87 conceded against VfB Stuttgart

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.