xgEdge

Saturday, 23/08/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Birmingham City 1:0 Oxford United

Birmingham City Home 1.65 xG · 16 shots
Oxford United Away 0.38 xG · 6 shots
10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 40' Seung Ho Paik Birmingham City · 0.11 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Birmingham City Oxford United
Shots
16
6
On target
1
1
Inside the box
10
2
xG per shot
0.10
0.06
Open play xG
1.56
0.33
Set-piece xG
0.08
0.05
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.65 for Birmingham City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Birmingham City · Kyogo Furuhashi · 11' · No goal · 15 m · 0.39 xG Birmingham City · Kyogo Furuhashi · 5' · No goal · 8 m · 0.32 xG Birmingham City · Kyogo Furuhashi · 28' · No goal · 4 m · 0.31 xG Oxford United · Mark Harris · 90' · No goal · 10 m · 0.21 xG Birmingham City · Seung Ho Paik · 40' · Goal · 12 m · 0.11 xG Birmingham City · Demarai Gray · 84' · No goal · 15 m · 0.09 xG Birmingham City · Seung Ho Paik · 32' · No goal · 16 m · 0.08 xG Birmingham City · Ethan Laird · 3' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG Birmingham City · Seung Ho Paik · 5' · No goal · 16 m · 0.05 xG Birmingham City · Willum Thor Willumsson · 45' · No goal · 19 m · 0.05 xG Birmingham City · Ethan Laird · 15' · No goal · 20 m · 0.05 xG Oxford United · Przemysław Płacheta · 80' · No goal · 22 m · 0.05 xG Oxford United · Stanley Mills · 90' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Birmingham City · Tommy Doyle · 67' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Birmingham City · Lyndon Dykes · 90' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG Oxford United · Cameron Brannagan · 16' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Birmingham City · Jay Stansfield · 17' · No goal · 26 m · 0.03 xG Oxford United · Tyler Goodrham · 56' · No goal · 30 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Tyler Goodrham · 1' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Birmingham City · Demarai Gray · 64' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG Birmingham City · Demarai Gray · 43' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Birmingham City · Tomoki Iwata · 90' · No goal · 20 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

22 shots · 2.01 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Birmingham City
  • Oxford United
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Birmingham City

1.69 xG created 0.87 xGA

  • D 1.38 created, 1.31 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • W 2.00 created, 0.43 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
Oxford United

1.20 xG created 1.56 xGA

  • L 1.37 created, 1.21 conceded against Portsmouth
  • L 1.02 created, 1.91 conceded against Hull City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.