Birmingham City 2:2 Sheffield Wednesday: xG & match report · Championship

Tuesday, 30/09/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Championship

Birmingham City Home 1.47 xG · 20 shots

Sheffield Wednesday Away 0.42 xG · 5 shots

22 Birmingham City had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

9' Jay Stansfield Birmingham City · 0.19 xG chance 1–0
37' Jamal Lowe Sheffield Wednesday · 0.15 xG chance 1–1
76' George Brown Sheffield Wednesday · 0.19 xG chance 1–2
90' Demarai Gray Birmingham City · 0.06 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Birmingham City Sheffield Wednesday

Shots: 20; 5
On target: 5; 3
Inside the box: 12; 5
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.90; 0.17
Set-piece xG: 0.44; 0.24
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.33 for Birmingham City and 0.41 for Sheffield Wednesday.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 1.75 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Birmingham City
Sheffield Wednesday
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Birmingham City

1.27 xG created 0.90 xGA

W 2.00 created, 0.43 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
W 1.65 created, 0.38 conceded against Oxford United
L 0.83 created, 0.56 conceded against Leicester City
L 0.52 created, 0.49 conceded against Stoke City
W 2.41 created, 1.43 conceded against Swansea City
L 0.19 created, 2.13 conceded against Coventry City

Sheffield Wednesday

1.32 xG created 1.66 xGA

L 1.50 created, 2.06 conceded against Stoke City
D 2.67 created, 1.30 conceded against Wrexham
L 0.45 created, 1.31 conceded against Swansea City
L 0.83 created, 1.39 conceded against Bristol City
W 1.07 created, 1.74 conceded against Portsmouth
D 1.41 created, 2.17 conceded against Queens Park Rangers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.